@article{corrales_advances_2020,

title = {Advances and challenges in modelling the impacts of invasive alien species on aquatic ecosystems},

author = {X. Corrales and S. Katsanevakis and M. Coll and J. J. Heymans and C. Piroddi and E. Ofir and G. Gal},

year  = {2020},

date = {2020-01-01},

urldate = {2020-01-01},

journal = {Biological Invasions},

pages = {1--28},

note = {Publisher: Springer},

keywords = {climate change impacts, Eastern Mediterranean, Ecospace, invasive species},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{ramirez_sos_2020,

title = {SOS small pelagics: a Safe Operating Space for small pelagic fish in the Western Mediterranean Sea},

author = {F. Ram\'{i}rez and M. Grazia Pennino and M. Albo-Puigserver and J. Steenbeek and J. M. Bellido and M. Coll},

year  = {2020},

date = {2020-01-01},

urldate = {2020-01-01},

journal = {Science of The Total Environment},

pages = {144002},

note = {Publisher: Elsevier},

keywords = {climate change impacts, fisheries management, safe operating space (SOS), small pelagic fish, western Mediterranean sea},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{giovos_human_2019b,

title = {Human Activities Help Alien Species to Invade the Mediterranean Sea},

author = {I. Giovos and S. Katsanevakis and M Coll and C. Piroddi and J. Steenbeek and F. B. Lasram and A. C. Cardoso},

url = {https://kids.frontiersin.org/article/10.3389/frym.2019.00097},

doi = {10.3389/frym.2019.00097},

year  = {2019},

date = {2019-07-01},

urldate = {2019-07-01},

journal = {Frontiers for Young Minds},

volume = {7},

number = {97},

keywords = {climate change impacts, invasive species, Mediterranean Sea},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{lotzeGlobalEnsembleProjections2019,

title = {Global Ensemble Projections Reveal Trophic Amplification of Ocean Biomass Declines with Climate Change},

author = {Heike K. Lotze and Derek P. Tittensor and Andrea Bryndum-Buchholz and Tyler D. Eddy and William W. L. Cheung and Eric D. Galbraith and Manuel Barange and Nicolas Barrier and Daniele Bianchi and Julia L. Blanchard and Laurent Bopp and Matthias B\"{u}chner and Catherine M. Bulman and David A. Carozza and Villy Christensen and Marta Coll and John P. Dunne and Elizabeth A. Fulton and Simon Jennings and Miranda C. Jones and Steve Mackinson and Olivier Maury and Susa Niiranen and Ricardo Oliveros-Ramos and Tilla Roy and Jos\'{e} A. Fernandes and Jacob Schewe and Yunne-Jai Shin and Tiago A. M. Silva and Jeroen Steenbeek and Charles A. Stock and Philippe Verley and Jan Volkholz and Nicola D. Walker and Boris Worm},

doi = {10.1073/pnas.1900194116},

issn = {0027-8424, 1091-6490},

year  = {2019},

date = {2019-06-01},

urldate = {2019-06-17},

journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},

pages = {201900194},

abstract = {While the physical dimensions of climate change are now routinely assessed through multimodel intercomparisons, projected impacts on the global ocean ecosystem generally rely on individual models with a specific set of assumptions. To address these single-model limitations, we present standardized ensemble projections from six global marine ecosystem models forced with two Earth system models and four emission scenarios with and without fishing. We derive average biomass trends and associated uncertainties across the marine food web. Without fishing, mean global animal biomass decreased by 5% (±4% SD) under low emissions and 17% (±11% SD) under high emissions by 2100, with an average 5% decline for every 1 $^circ$C of warming. Projected biomass declines were primarily driven by increasing temperature and decreasing primary production, and were more pronounced at higher trophic levels, a process known as trophic amplification. Fishing did not substantially alter the effects of climate change. Considerable regional variation featured strong biomass increases at high latitudes and decreases at middle to low latitudes, with good model agreement on the direction of change but variable magnitude. Uncertainties due to variations in marine ecosystem and Earth system models were similar. Ensemble projections performed well compared with empirical data, emphasizing the benefits of multimodel inference to project future outcomes. Our results indicate that global ocean animal biomass consistently declines with climate change, and that these impacts are amplified at higher trophic levels. Next steps for model development include dynamic scenarios of fishing, cumulative human impacts, and the effects of management measures on future ocean biomass trends.},

keywords = {climate change impacts, global ecosystem modeling, marine food webs, model intercomparison, uncertainty},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{lotze_global_2019,

title = {Global ensemble projections reveal trophic amplification of ocean biomass declines with climate change},

author = {H. K. Lotze and D. P. Tittensor and A. Bryndum-Buchholz and T. D. Eddy and W. W. L. Cheung and E. D. Galbraith and M. Barange and N. Barrier and D. Bianchi and J. Blanchard and L. Bopp and M. B\"{u}chner and C. Bulman and D. Carozza and V. Christensen and M. Coll and J. P. Dunne and E. A. Fulton and S. Jennings and M. Jones and S. Mackinson and O. Maury and S. Niiranen and R. Oliveros-Ramos and T. Roy and J. A. Fernandes and J. Schewe and Y-J Shin and T. Silva and J. Steenbeek and C. A. Stock and P. Verley and J. Volkholz and N. D. Walker and B. Worm},

url = {https://www.pnas.org/content/early/2019/06/10/1900194116},

doi = {10.1073/pnas.1900194116},

issn = {0027-8424, 1091-6490},

year  = {2019},

date = {2019-01-01},

urldate = {2019-01-01},

journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},

pages = {201900194},

abstract = {While the physical dimensions of climate change are now routinely assessed through multimodel intercomparisons, projected impacts on the global ocean ecosystem generally rely on individual models with a specific set of assumptions. To address these single-model limitations, we present standardized ensemble projections from six global marine ecosystem models forced with two Earth system models and four emission scenarios with and without fishing. We derive average biomass trends and associated uncertainties across the marine food web. Without fishing, mean global animal biomass decreased by 5% (±4% SD) under low emissions and 17% (±11% SD) under high emissions by 2100, with an average 5% decline for every 1 °C of warming. Projected biomass declines were primarily driven by increasing temperature and decreasing primary production, and were more pronounced at higher trophic levels, a process known as trophic amplification. Fishing did not substantially alter the effects of climate change. Considerable regional variation featured strong biomass increases at high latitudes and decreases at middle to low latitudes, with good model agreement on the direction of change but variable magnitude. Uncertainties due to variations in marine ecosystem and Earth system models were similar. Ensemble projections performed well compared with empirical data, emphasizing the benefits of multimodel inference to project future outcomes. Our results indicate that global ocean animal biomass consistently declines with climate change, and that these impacts are amplified at higher trophic levels. Next steps for model development include dynamic scenarios of fishing, cumulative human impacts, and the effects of management measures on future ocean biomass trends.},

keywords = {climate change impacts, EcoOcean, ensemble modelling, Fish-MIP, food web, global study, model intercomparison, uncertainty},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{schewe_state---art_2019,

title = {State-of-the-art global models underestimate impacts from climate extremes},

author = {J. Schewe and S. N. Gosling and C. Reyer and F. Zhao and P. Ciais and J. Elliott and L. Francois and V. Huber and H. K. Lotze and S. Seneviratne and M. T. H. van Vliet and R. Vautard and Y. Wada and L. Breuer and M. B\"{u}chner and D. A. Carozza and J. Chang and M. Coll and D. Deryng and A. de Wit and T. D. Eddy and C. Folberth and K. Frieler and A. D. Friend and D. Gerten and L. Gudmundsson and N. Hanasaki and A. Ito and N. Khabarov and H. Kim and P. Lawrence and C. Morfopoulos and C. M\"{u}ller and H. M\"{u}ller Schmied and R. Orth and S. Ostberg and Y. Pokhrel and T. A. M. Pugh and G. Sakurai and Y. Satoh and E. Schmid and T. Stacke and J. Steenbeek and J. Steinkamp and Q. Tang and H. Tian and D. P. Tittensor and J. Volkholz and X. Wang and L. Warszawski },

year  = {2019},

date = {2019-01-01},

urldate = {2019-01-01},

journal = {Nature Communications},

keywords = {climate change impacts, EcoOcean, ensemble modelling, Fish-MIP, futures scenarios, global study},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{bryndum-buchholz_21st_2019,

title = {21st century climate change impacts on marine animal biomass and ecosystem structure across ocean basins},

author = {A. Bryndum-Buchholz and D. P. Tittensor and J. L. Blanchard and W. W. L. Cheung and M. Coll and E. D. Galbraith and S. Jennings and O. Maury and H. K. Lotze},

year  = {2019},

date = {2019-01-01},

urldate = {2019-01-01},

journal = {Global Change Biology},

volume = {https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.14512},

note = {Type: Journal Article},

keywords = {climate change impacts, EcoOcean, ensemble modelling, futures scenarios, global study},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{dubois_recovery_2019,

title = {Recovery debts can be revealed by ecosystem network-based approaches},

author = {M. Dubois and D. Gascuel and M. Coll and J. Claudet},

doi = {10.1007/s10021-018-0294-5},

year  = {2019},

date = {2019-01-01},

journal = {Ecosystems},

volume = {22},

pages = {658\textendash676},

abstract = {Ecosystems are increasingly disturbed by natural disturbances and human stressors. Understanding how a disturbance can propagate through an entire ecosystem and how induced changes can last after apparent recovery is key to guide management and ecosystem restoration strategies. Monitoring programs and impact assessment studies rely mostly on indicators based only on species relative abundance and biomass, potentially misinforming management efforts. Impacts on ecosystem structure and functioning, and subsequent delivery of ecosystem services, are too often overlooked. Here we use an ecosystem network approach to assess the recovery pathway and potential recovery debts of a coral reef ecosystem, following a pulse disturbance. We show that although species abundance and biomass indicators recovered in a decade after the perturbation, the ecosystem as a whole presented a recovery debt. The ecosystem structure lost complexity (became “food chain like”) and lost about 29% of its overall cycling efficiency and 9% of its transfer efficiency. Although the ecosystem trophic network in the fore reef may have maintained its general functioning, the ecosystem network in the lagoon, not directly exposed to the disturbance, presented a stronger recovery debt. Our results give new insights on how ecosystem network approaches can help identify ecosystem impacts and recovery pathways.},

note = {Type: Journal Article},

keywords = {climate change impacts, connectivity, coral reef, human impacts, network analysis, recovery},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{schewe_state---art_2019b,

title = {State-of-the-art global models underestimate impacts from climate extremes},

author = {J. Schewe and S. Gosling and C. Reyer and F. Zhao and P. Ciais and J. Elliott and L. Francois and V. Huber and H. Lotze and S. Seneviratne},

year  = {2019},

date = {2019-01-01},

urldate = {2019-01-01},

journal = {Nature Communications},

keywords = {climate change impacts, EcoOcean, ensemble modelling},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{corrales_future_2018,

title = {Future scenarios of marine resources and ecosystem conditions of the Eastern Mediterranean under impacts of fishing, alien species and sea warming},

author = {X. Corrales and M. Coll and E. Ofir and J. J. Heymans and J. Steenbeek and M. Goren and D. Edelist and G. Gal},

year  = {2018},

date = {2018-01-01},

urldate = {2018-01-01},

journal = {Scientific Reports},

volume = {8},

pages = {14284},

note = {Type: Journal Article},

keywords = {alien species, climate change impacts, Eastern Mediterranean, futures scenarios, Lessepsian migrants},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{piroddi_historical_2017,

title = {Historical changes of the Mediterranean Sea ecosystem: modelling the role and impact of primary productivity and fisheries changes over time},

author = {C. Piroddi and M. Coll and C. Liquete and D. Macias and K. Greer and J. Buszowski and J. Steenbeek and R. Danovaro and V. Christensen},

url = {https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5349533/},

year  = {2017},

date = {2017-01-01},

urldate = {2017-01-01},

journal = {Scientific Reports},

volume = {7},

keywords = {climate change impacts, fisheries, historical changes, Mediterranean Sea},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{coll_modelling_2016,

title = {Modelling the cumulative spatial-temporal effects of environmental factors and fishing in a NW Mediterranean marine ecosystem},

author = {M. Coll and J. Steenbeek and J. Sole and I. Palomera and V. Christensen},

year  = {2016},

date = {2016-01-01},

journal = {Ecological Modelling},

volume = {331},

pages = {100--114},

keywords = {climate change impacts, fisheries, Mediterranean Sea},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{tecchio_structure_2015,

title = {Structure, functioning, and cumulative stressors of Mediterranean deep-sea ecosystems},

author = {S. Tecchio and M. Coll and F. Sarda},

year  = {2015},

date = {2015-01-01},

journal = {Progress in Oceanography},

volume = {135},

pages = {156--167},

keywords = {climate change impacts, deep sea, human impacts, Mediterranean Sea, regional study},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{christensen_global_2015b,

title = {The global ocean is an ecosystem: Simulating marine life and fisheries},

author = {V. Christensen and M. Coll and J. Buszowski and W. W. L. Cheung and T. Fr\"{o}licher and J. Steenbeek and C. A. Stock and R. Watson and C. J. Walters},

doi = {10.1111/geb.12281},

year  = {2015},

date = {2015-01-01},

urldate = {2015-01-01},

journal = {Global Ecology and Biogeography},

volume = {24},

number = {5},

pages = {507--517},

keywords = {climate change impacts, EcoOcean, fisheries, global study},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}