2024
Journal Articles
1.
Blanchard, Julia L.; Novaglio, Camilla; Maury, Olivier; Harrison, Cheryl S.; Petrik, Colleen M.; Fierro‐Arcos, Denisse; Ortega‐Cisneros, Kelly; Bryndum‐Buchholz, Andrea; Eddy, Tyler D.; Heneghan, Ryan; Roberts, Kelsey; Schewe, Jacob; Bianchi, Daniele; Guiet, Jerome; Denderen, P. Daniel Van; Palacios‐Abrantes, Juliano; Liu, Xiao; Stock, Charles A.; Rousseau, Yannick; Büchner, Matthias; Adekoya, Ezekiel O.; Bulman, Cathy; Cheung, William; Christensen, Villy; Coll, Marta; Capitani, Leonardo; Datta, Samik; Fulton, Elizabeth A.; Fuster, Alba; Garza, Victoria; Lengaigne, Matthieu; Lindmark, Max; Murphy, Kieran; Ouled‐Cheikh, Jazel; Prasad, Sowdamini S.; Oliveros‐Ramos, Ricardo; Reum, Jonathan C.; Rynne, Nina; Scherrer, Kim J. N.; Shin, Yunne‐Jai; Steenbeek, Jeroen; Woodworth‐Jefcoats, Phoebe; Wu, Yan‐Lun; Tittensor, Derek P.
Detecting, Attributing, and Projecting Global Marine Ecosystem and Fisheries Change: FishMIP 2.0 Journal Article
In: Earth's Future, vol. 12, no. 12, pp. e2023EF004402, 2024, ISSN: 2328-4277, 2328-4277.
Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Tags: EcoOcean, FishMIP
@article{blanchard_detecting_2024,
title = {Detecting, Attributing, and Projecting Global Marine Ecosystem and Fisheries Change: FishMIP 2.0},
author = {Julia L. Blanchard and Camilla Novaglio and Olivier Maury and Cheryl S. Harrison and Colleen M. Petrik and Denisse Fierro‐Arcos and Kelly Ortega‐Cisneros and Andrea Bryndum‐Buchholz and Tyler D. Eddy and Ryan Heneghan and Kelsey Roberts and Jacob Schewe and Daniele Bianchi and Jerome Guiet and P. Daniel Van Denderen and Juliano Palacios‐Abrantes and Xiao Liu and Charles A. Stock and Yannick Rousseau and Matthias B\"{u}chner and Ezekiel O. Adekoya and Cathy Bulman and William Cheung and Villy Christensen and Marta Coll and Leonardo Capitani and Samik Datta and Elizabeth A. Fulton and Alba Fuster and Victoria Garza and Matthieu Lengaigne and Max Lindmark and Kieran Murphy and Jazel Ouled‐Cheikh and Sowdamini S. Prasad and Ricardo Oliveros‐Ramos and Jonathan C. Reum and Nina Rynne and Kim J. N. Scherrer and Yunne‐Jai Shin and Jeroen Steenbeek and Phoebe Woodworth‐Jefcoats and Yan‐Lun Wu and Derek P. Tittensor},
url = {https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2023EF004402},
doi = {10.1029/2023EF004402},
issn = {2328-4277, 2328-4277},
year = {2024},
date = {2024-12-01},
urldate = {2025-01-08},
journal = {Earth's Future},
volume = {12},
number = {12},
pages = {e2023EF004402},
abstract = {Abstract
There is an urgent need for models that can robustly detect past and project future ecosystem changes and risks to the services that they provide to people. The Fisheries and Marine Ecosystem Model Intercomparison Project (FishMIP) was established to develop model ensembles for projecting long‐term impacts of climate change on fisheries and marine ecosystems while informing policy at spatio‐temporal scales relevant to the Inter‐Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP) framework. While contributing FishMIP models have improved over time, large uncertainties in projections remain, particularly in coastal and shelf seas where most of the world's fisheries occur. Furthermore, previous FishMIP climate impact projections have been limited by a lack of global standardized historical fishing data, low resolution of coastal processes, and uneven capabilities across the FishMIP community to dynamically model fisheries. These features are needed to evaluate how reliably the FishMIP ensemble captures past ecosystem states ‐ a crucial step for building confidence in future projections. To address these issues, we have developed FishMIP 2.0 comprising a two‐track framework for: (a) Model evaluation and attribution of past changes and (b) future climate and socioeconomic scenario projections. Key advances include improved historical climate forcing, which captures oceanographic features not previously resolved, and standardized global fishing forcing to test fishing effects systematically across models. FishMIP 2.0 is a crucial step toward a detection and attribution framework for changing marine ecosystems and toward enhanced policy relevance through increased confidence in future ensemble projections. Our results will help elucidate pathways toward achieving sustainable development goals.
,
Plain Language Summary
Historically, the largest human impact on the ocean has been overfishing. In the future, it may become climate change. To understand and predict how human activities will affect marine ecosystems in the future, we need models that can be used to accurately detect and attribute the effects of drivers and their impact on past ecosystem trajectories. By doing this, we will build confidence in the ability of sets of these models (“ensembles”) to capture future change. FishMIP 2.0 provides a way to construct and test these ensembles and scenarios of both changing climate and socio‐economic conditions, to better assess how future fisheries could adapt over time.
,
Key Points
Detecting, attributing, and projecting climate change risks on marine ecosystems and fisheries requires models with realistic dynamics
FishMIP 2.0 incorporates fishing and climate impact trajectories to assess models and detect past ecosystem changes more accurately
Our framework will help support model improvement, building confidence in future projections to underpin policy advice},
keywords = {EcoOcean, FishMIP},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
Abstract
There is an urgent need for models that can robustly detect past and project future ecosystem changes and risks to the services that they provide to people. The Fisheries and Marine Ecosystem Model Intercomparison Project (FishMIP) was established to develop model ensembles for projecting long‐term impacts of climate change on fisheries and marine ecosystems while informing policy at spatio‐temporal scales relevant to the Inter‐Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP) framework. While contributing FishMIP models have improved over time, large uncertainties in projections remain, particularly in coastal and shelf seas where most of the world's fisheries occur. Furthermore, previous FishMIP climate impact projections have been limited by a lack of global standardized historical fishing data, low resolution of coastal processes, and uneven capabilities across the FishMIP community to dynamically model fisheries. These features are needed to evaluate how reliably the FishMIP ensemble captures past ecosystem states ‐ a crucial step for building confidence in future projections. To address these issues, we have developed FishMIP 2.0 comprising a two‐track framework for: (a) Model evaluation and attribution of past changes and (b) future climate and socioeconomic scenario projections. Key advances include improved historical climate forcing, which captures oceanographic features not previously resolved, and standardized global fishing forcing to test fishing effects systematically across models. FishMIP 2.0 is a crucial step toward a detection and attribution framework for changing marine ecosystems and toward enhanced policy relevance through increased confidence in future ensemble projections. Our results will help elucidate pathways toward achieving sustainable development goals.
,
Plain Language Summary
Historically, the largest human impact on the ocean has been overfishing. In the future, it may become climate change. To understand and predict how human activities will affect marine ecosystems in the future, we need models that can be used to accurately detect and attribute the effects of drivers and their impact on past ecosystem trajectories. By doing this, we will build confidence in the ability of sets of these models (“ensembles”) to capture future change. FishMIP 2.0 provides a way to construct and test these ensembles and scenarios of both changing climate and socio‐economic conditions, to better assess how future fisheries could adapt over time.
,
Key Points
Detecting, attributing, and projecting climate change risks on marine ecosystems and fisheries requires models with realistic dynamics
FishMIP 2.0 incorporates fishing and climate impact trajectories to assess models and detect past ecosystem changes more accurately
Our framework will help support model improvement, building confidence in future projections to underpin policy advice
There is an urgent need for models that can robustly detect past and project future ecosystem changes and risks to the services that they provide to people. The Fisheries and Marine Ecosystem Model Intercomparison Project (FishMIP) was established to develop model ensembles for projecting long‐term impacts of climate change on fisheries and marine ecosystems while informing policy at spatio‐temporal scales relevant to the Inter‐Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP) framework. While contributing FishMIP models have improved over time, large uncertainties in projections remain, particularly in coastal and shelf seas where most of the world's fisheries occur. Furthermore, previous FishMIP climate impact projections have been limited by a lack of global standardized historical fishing data, low resolution of coastal processes, and uneven capabilities across the FishMIP community to dynamically model fisheries. These features are needed to evaluate how reliably the FishMIP ensemble captures past ecosystem states ‐ a crucial step for building confidence in future projections. To address these issues, we have developed FishMIP 2.0 comprising a two‐track framework for: (a) Model evaluation and attribution of past changes and (b) future climate and socioeconomic scenario projections. Key advances include improved historical climate forcing, which captures oceanographic features not previously resolved, and standardized global fishing forcing to test fishing effects systematically across models. FishMIP 2.0 is a crucial step toward a detection and attribution framework for changing marine ecosystems and toward enhanced policy relevance through increased confidence in future ensemble projections. Our results will help elucidate pathways toward achieving sustainable development goals.
,
Plain Language Summary
Historically, the largest human impact on the ocean has been overfishing. In the future, it may become climate change. To understand and predict how human activities will affect marine ecosystems in the future, we need models that can be used to accurately detect and attribute the effects of drivers and their impact on past ecosystem trajectories. By doing this, we will build confidence in the ability of sets of these models (“ensembles”) to capture future change. FishMIP 2.0 provides a way to construct and test these ensembles and scenarios of both changing climate and socio‐economic conditions, to better assess how future fisheries could adapt over time.
,
Key Points
Detecting, attributing, and projecting climate change risks on marine ecosystems and fisheries requires models with realistic dynamics
FishMIP 2.0 incorporates fishing and climate impact trajectories to assess models and detect past ecosystem changes more accurately
Our framework will help support model improvement, building confidence in future projections to underpin policy advice
2.
Boot, Amber Adore; Steenbeek, Jeroen Gerhard; Coll, Marta; Heydt, Anna S. Von Der; Dijkstra, Henk A.
Global Marine Ecosystem Response to a Strong AMOC Weakening under Low and High Future Emission Scenarios Journal Article
In: Authorea Preprints, 2024.
Links | BibTeX | Tags: EcoOcean
@article{bootGlobalMarineEcosystem2024,
title = {Global Marine Ecosystem Response to a Strong AMOC Weakening under Low and High Future Emission Scenarios},
author = {Amber Adore Boot and Jeroen Gerhard Steenbeek and Marta Coll and Anna S. Von Der Heydt and Henk A. Dijkstra},
doi = {10.22541/essoar.171319366.64840276/v1},
year = {2024},
date = {2024-04-01},
urldate = {2024-04-01},
journal = {Authorea Preprints},
keywords = {EcoOcean},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
3.
Steenbeek, Jeroen; Ortega, Pablo; Bernardello, Raffaele; Christensen, Villy; Coll, Marta; Exarchou, Eleftheria; Fuster-Alonso, Alba; Heneghan, Ryan; Melis, Laura Julià; Pennino, Maria Grazia; Rivas, David; Keenlyside, Noel
In: Earth's Future, vol. 12, no. 3, pp. e2023EF004295, 2024, ISSN: 2328-4277.
Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Tags: distributed execution, EcoOcean, MacGyver, marine ecosystem models, open-source software, systematic assessments
@article{steenbeekMakingEcosystemModeling2024,
title = {Making Ecosystem Modeling Operational \textendash a Novel Distributed Execution Framework to Systematically Explore Ecological Responses to Divergent Climate Trajectories},
author = {Jeroen Steenbeek and Pablo Ortega and Raffaele Bernardello and Villy Christensen and Marta Coll and Eleftheria Exarchou and Alba Fuster-Alonso and Ryan Heneghan and Laura Juli\`{a} Melis and Maria Grazia Pennino and David Rivas and Noel Keenlyside},
doi = {10.1029/2023EF004295},
issn = {2328-4277},
year = {2024},
date = {2024-01-01},
urldate = {2024-01-01},
journal = {Earth's Future},
volume = {12},
number = {3},
pages = {e2023EF004295},
abstract = {Marine Ecosystem Models (MEMs) are increasingly driven by Earth System Models (ESMs) to better understand marine ecosystem dynamics, and to analyze the effects of alternative management efforts for marine ecosystems under potential scenarios of climate change. However, policy and commercial activities typically occur on seasonal-to-decadal time scales, a time span widely used in the global climate modeling community but where the skill level assessments of MEMs are in their infancy. This is mostly due to technical hurdles that prevent the global MEM community from performing large ensemble simulations with which to undergo systematic skill assessments. Here, we developed a novel distributed execution framework constructed of low-tech and freely available technologies to enable the systematic execution and analysis of linked ESM/MEM prediction ensembles. We apply this framework on the seasonal-to-decadal time scale, and assess how retrospective forecast uncertainty in an ensemble of initialized decadal ESM predictions affects a mechanistic and spatiotemporal explicit global trophodynamic MEM. Our results indicate that ESM internal variability has a relatively low impact on the MEM variability in comparison to the broad assumptions related to reconstructed fisheries. We also observe that the results are also sensitive to the ESM specificities. Our case study warrants further systematic explorations to disentangle the impacts of climate change, fisheries scenarios, MEM internal ecological hypotheses, and ESM variability. Most importantly, our case study demonstrates that a simple and free distributed execution framework has the potential to empower any modeling group with the fundamental capabilities to operationalize marine ecosystem modeling.},
keywords = {distributed execution, EcoOcean, MacGyver, marine ecosystem models, open-source software, systematic assessments},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
Marine Ecosystem Models (MEMs) are increasingly driven by Earth System Models (ESMs) to better understand marine ecosystem dynamics, and to analyze the effects of alternative management efforts for marine ecosystems under potential scenarios of climate change. However, policy and commercial activities typically occur on seasonal-to-decadal time scales, a time span widely used in the global climate modeling community but where the skill level assessments of MEMs are in their infancy. This is mostly due to technical hurdles that prevent the global MEM community from performing large ensemble simulations with which to undergo systematic skill assessments. Here, we developed a novel distributed execution framework constructed of low-tech and freely available technologies to enable the systematic execution and analysis of linked ESM/MEM prediction ensembles. We apply this framework on the seasonal-to-decadal time scale, and assess how retrospective forecast uncertainty in an ensemble of initialized decadal ESM predictions affects a mechanistic and spatiotemporal explicit global trophodynamic MEM. Our results indicate that ESM internal variability has a relatively low impact on the MEM variability in comparison to the broad assumptions related to reconstructed fisheries. We also observe that the results are also sensitive to the ESM specificities. Our case study warrants further systematic explorations to disentangle the impacts of climate change, fisheries scenarios, MEM internal ecological hypotheses, and ESM variability. Most importantly, our case study demonstrates that a simple and free distributed execution framework has the potential to empower any modeling group with the fundamental capabilities to operationalize marine ecosystem modeling.
4.
Villasante, Sebastian; Murillas, Arantza; Pita, Pablo; Tubío, Ana; Pascual-Fernández, Jose J.; Arangao, Guillherme; Moranta, Joan; Coll, Marta; Ospina-Alvarez, Andrés; Juan, Silvia
Impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on the Spanish seafood sector Journal Article
In: Marine Policy, vol. 169, pp. 106293, 2024, (Publisher: Elsevier).
Links | BibTeX | Tags: COVID-19
@article{villasante_impacts_2024,
title = {Impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on the Spanish seafood sector},
author = {Sebastian Villasante and Arantza Murillas and Pablo Pita and Ana Tub\'{i}o and Jose J. Pascual-Fern\'{a}ndez and Guillherme Arangao and Joan Moranta and Marta Coll and Andr\'{e}s Ospina-Alvarez and Silvia Juan},
url = {https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0308597X24002914},
year = {2024},
date = {2024-01-01},
urldate = {2025-01-08},
journal = {Marine Policy},
volume = {169},
pages = {106293},
note = {Publisher: Elsevier},
keywords = {COVID-19},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
5.
Angelini, Ronaldo; Lima, Maria Alice Leite; Lira, Alex Souza; Lucena-Frédou, Flávia; Frédou, Thierry; Bertrand, Arnaud; Giarrizzo, Tommaso; Steenbeek, Jeroen; Coll, Marta; Keppeler, Friedrich Wolfgang
The projected impacts of climate change and fishing pressure on a tropical marine food web Journal Article
In: Marine Environmental Research, pp. 106909, 2024, (Publisher: Elsevier).
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Brazil, Ecospace, fisheries
@article{angelini_projected_2024,
title = {The projected impacts of climate change and fishing pressure on a tropical marine food web},
author = {Ronaldo Angelini and Maria Alice Leite Lima and Alex Souza Lira and Fl\'{a}via Lucena-Fr\'{e}dou and Thierry Fr\'{e}dou and Arnaud Bertrand and Tommaso Giarrizzo and Jeroen Steenbeek and Marta Coll and Friedrich Wolfgang Keppeler},
url = {https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0141113624005701},
year = {2024},
date = {2024-01-01},
urldate = {2025-01-08},
journal = {Marine Environmental Research},
pages = {106909},
note = {Publisher: Elsevier},
keywords = {Brazil, Ecospace, fisheries},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
6.
Coll, Marta; Bellido, José María; Pennino, Maria Grazia; Albo-Puigserver, Marta; Báez, José Carlos; Christensen, Villy; Corrales, Xavier; Fernández-Corredor, Elena; Giménez, Joan; Julià, Laura; Lloret-Lloret, Elena; Macias, Diego; Ouled-Cheikh, Jazel; Ramirez, F; Sbragaglia, Valerio; Steenbeek, Jeroen
Retrospective analysis of the pelagic ecosystem of the Western Mediterranean Sea: drivers, changes and effects Journal Article
In: Science of The Total Environment, vol. 907, pp. 167790, 2024, (Publisher: Elsevier).
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Ecospace, Mediterranean Sea
@article{coll_retrospective_2024,
title = {Retrospective analysis of the pelagic ecosystem of the Western Mediterranean Sea: drivers, changes and effects},
author = {Marta Coll and Jos\'{e} Mar\'{i}a Bellido and Maria Grazia Pennino and Marta Albo-Puigserver and Jos\'{e} Carlos B\'{a}ez and Villy Christensen and Xavier Corrales and Elena Fern\'{a}ndez-Corredor and Joan Gim\'{e}nez and Laura Juli\`{a} and Elena Lloret-Lloret and Diego Macias and Jazel Ouled-Cheikh and F Ramirez and Valerio Sbragaglia and Jeroen Steenbeek},
url = {https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0048969723064173?casa_token=NLXcFSCgZLEAAAAA:1mB2JzHY1-MT6gNLHKYCyRGOGiaBBAiNMoJW3r3cFjQskSyueeXcQOyeUwsKNSTiHFLfSos0V5k},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.167790},
year = {2024},
date = {2024-01-01},
urldate = {2024-01-31},
journal = {Science of The Total Environment},
volume = {907},
pages = {167790},
note = {Publisher: Elsevier},
keywords = {Ecospace, Mediterranean Sea},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
7.
Eddy, Tyler D.; Heneghan, Ryan F.; Bryndum-Buchholz, Andrea; Fulton, Beth; Harrison, Cheryl Shannon; Tittensor, Derek P.; Lotze, Heike K.; Ortega-Cisneros, Kelly; Novaglio, Camilla; Bianchi, Daniele
Global and regional marine ecosystem model climate change projections reveal key uncertainties Journal Article
In: 2024.
Links | BibTeX | Tags: EcoOcean, Ecospace, FishMIP
@article{eddy_global_2024,
title = {Global and regional marine ecosystem model climate change projections reveal key uncertainties},
author = {Tyler D. Eddy and Ryan F. Heneghan and Andrea Bryndum-Buchholz and Beth Fulton and Cheryl Shannon Harrison and Derek P. Tittensor and Heike K. Lotze and Kelly Ortega-Cisneros and Camilla Novaglio and Daniele Bianchi},
url = {https://hal.science/hal-04811335/},
year = {2024},
date = {2024-01-01},
urldate = {2025-01-08},
keywords = {EcoOcean, Ecospace, FishMIP},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
8.
de Mutsert, Kim; Coll, Marta; Steenbeek, Jeroen; Ainsworth, Cameron; Buszowski, Joe; Chagaris, David; Christensen, Villy; Heymans, Sheila JJ; Lewis, Kristy A.; Libralato, Simone
Advances in spatial-temporal coastal and marine ecosystem modeling using Ecospace Journal Article
In: 2024, (Publisher: Elsevier).
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Ecospace
@article{mutsert_advances_2024,
title = {Advances in spatial-temporal coastal and marine ecosystem modeling using Ecospace},
author = {Kim de Mutsert and Marta Coll and Jeroen Steenbeek and Cameron Ainsworth and Joe Buszowski and David Chagaris and Villy Christensen and Sheila JJ Heymans and Kristy A. Lewis and Simone Libralato},
url = {https://digital.csic.es/handle/10261/329496},
year = {2024},
date = {2024-01-01},
urldate = {2025-01-08},
note = {Publisher: Elsevier},
keywords = {Ecospace},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
9.
Ortega-Cisneros, Kelly; Arcos, L. Denisse Fierro; Novaglio, Camilla; Woodworth-Jefcoats, Phoebe; Eddy, Tyler; Coll, Marta; Fulton, Beth; Oliveros-Ramos, Ricardo; Reum, Jonathan Charles; Shin, Yunne-Jai
An Integrated Global-to-Regional Scale Workflow for Simulating Climate Change Impacts on Marine Ecosystems Journal Article
In: Authorea Preprints, 2024, (Publisher: Authorea).
Links | BibTeX | Tags: FishMIP
@article{ortega-cisneros_integrated_2024,
title = {An Integrated Global-to-Regional Scale Workflow for Simulating Climate Change Impacts on Marine Ecosystems},
author = {Kelly Ortega-Cisneros and L. Denisse Fierro Arcos and Camilla Novaglio and Phoebe Woodworth-Jefcoats and Tyler Eddy and Marta Coll and Beth Fulton and Ricardo Oliveros-Ramos and Jonathan Charles Reum and Yunne-Jai Shin},
url = {https://essopenarchive.org/doi/full/10.22541/essoar.171587234.44707846},
year = {2024},
date = {2024-01-01},
urldate = {2025-01-08},
journal = {Authorea Preprints},
note = {Publisher: Authorea},
keywords = {FishMIP},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
10.
Ruzicka, James; Chiaverano, Luciano; Coll, Marta; Garrido, Susana; Tam, Jorge; Murase, Hiroto; Robinson, Kelly; Romagnoni, Giovanni; Shannon, Lynne; Silva, Alexandra
The role of small pelagic fish in diverse ecosystems: knowledge gleaned from food-web models Journal Article
In: Marine Ecology Progress Series, 2024.
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Ecosystem structure
@article{ruzicka_role_2024,
title = {The role of small pelagic fish in diverse ecosystems: knowledge gleaned from food-web models},
author = {James Ruzicka and Luciano Chiaverano and Marta Coll and Susana Garrido and Jorge Tam and Hiroto Murase and Kelly Robinson and Giovanni Romagnoni and Lynne Shannon and Alexandra Silva},
url = {https://www.int-res.com/abstracts/meps/SPF2/p_av9/},
year = {2024},
date = {2024-01-01},
urldate = {2025-01-08},
journal = {Marine Ecology Progress Series},
keywords = {Ecosystem structure},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
11.
Rynne, Nina; Novaglio, Camilla; Blanchard, Julia L.; Bianchi, Daniele; Christensen, Villy; Coll, Marta; Guiet, Jerome; Steenbeek, Jeroen Gerhard; Bryndum-Buchholz, Andrea; Eddy, Tyler
A skill assessment framework for the fisheries and marine ecosystem model intercomparison project Journal Article
In: Authorea Preprints, 2024, (Publisher: Authorea).
Links | BibTeX | Tags: EcoOcean, FishMIP, systematic skill assessments
@article{rynne_skill_2024,
title = {A skill assessment framework for the fisheries and marine ecosystem model intercomparison project},
author = {Nina Rynne and Camilla Novaglio and Julia L. Blanchard and Daniele Bianchi and Villy Christensen and Marta Coll and Jerome Guiet and Jeroen Gerhard Steenbeek and Andrea Bryndum-Buchholz and Tyler Eddy},
url = {https://essopenarchive.org/doi/full/10.22541/essoar.171580191.17895127},
year = {2024},
date = {2024-01-01},
urldate = {2025-01-08},
journal = {Authorea Preprints},
note = {Publisher: Authorea},
keywords = {EcoOcean, FishMIP, systematic skill assessments},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
12.
Blanchard, Julia L.; Novaglio, Camilla; Maury, Olivier; Harrison, Cheryl Shannon; Petrik, Colleen M.; Arcos, L. Denisse Fierro; Ortega-Cisneros, Kelly; Bryndum-Buchholz, Andrea; Eddy, Tyler; Heneghan, Ryan
Detecting, Attributing, and Projecting Global Marine Ecosystem and Fisheries Change: FishMIP 2.0 Journal Article
In: Authorea Preprints, 2024.
@article{blanchardDetectingAttributingProjecting2024,
title = {Detecting, Attributing, and Projecting Global Marine Ecosystem and Fisheries Change: FishMIP 2.0},
author = {Julia L. Blanchard and Camilla Novaglio and Olivier Maury and Cheryl Shannon Harrison and Colleen M. Petrik and L. Denisse Fierro Arcos and Kelly Ortega-Cisneros and Andrea Bryndum-Buchholz and Tyler Eddy and Ryan Heneghan},
year = {2024},
date = {2024-01-01},
urldate = {2024-01-01},
journal = {Authorea Preprints},
publisher = {Authorea},
keywords = {EcoOcean},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
13.
Coll, Marta; Bellido, José María; Pennino, Maria Grazia; Albo-Puigserver, Marta; Báez, José Carlos; Christensen, Villy; Corrales, Xavier; Fernández-Corredor, Elena; Giménez, Joan; Julià, Laura; Lloret-Lloret, Elena; Macias, Diego; Ouled-Cheikh, Jazel; Ramirez, F; Sbragaglia, Valerio; Steenbeek, Jeroen
Retrospective Analysis of the Pelagic Ecosystem of the Western Mediterranean Sea: Drivers, Changes and Effects Journal Article
In: Science of The Total Environment, vol. 907, pp. 167790, 2024.
@article{collRetrospectiveAnalysisPelagic2024,
title = {Retrospective Analysis of the Pelagic Ecosystem of the Western Mediterranean Sea: Drivers, Changes and Effects},
author = {Marta Coll and Jos\'{e} Mar\'{i}a Bellido and Maria Grazia Pennino and Marta Albo-Puigserver and Jos\'{e} Carlos B\'{a}ez and Villy Christensen and Xavier Corrales and Elena Fern\'{a}ndez-Corredor and Joan Gim\'{e}nez and Laura Juli\`{a} and Elena Lloret-Lloret and Diego Macias and Jazel Ouled-Cheikh and F Ramirez and Valerio Sbragaglia and Jeroen Steenbeek},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.167790},
year = {2024},
date = {2024-01-01},
urldate = {2024-01-31},
journal = {Science of The Total Environment},
volume = {907},
pages = {167790},
publisher = {Elsevier},
keywords = {},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
Miscellaneous
14.
Boot, Amber Adore; Steenbeek, Jeroen Gerhard; Coll, Marta; Heydt, Anna S. Von Der; Dijkstra, Henk A.
Global marine ecosystem response to a strong AMOC weakening under low and high future emission scenarios Miscellaneous
2024.
Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Tags: AMOC, EcoOcean, systematic assessments
@misc{boot_global_2024,
title = {Global marine ecosystem response to a strong AMOC weakening under low and high future emission scenarios},
author = {Amber Adore Boot and Jeroen Gerhard Steenbeek and Marta Coll and Anna S. Von Der Heydt and Henk A. Dijkstra},
url = {https://essopenarchive.org/users/668598/articles/825971-global-marine-ecosystem-response-to-a-strong-amoc-weakening-under-low-and-high-future-emission-scenarios?commit=9e4e97c43e2dde5615a4abd6ee1183814eb56950},
doi = {10.22541/essoar.171319366.64840276/v1},
year = {2024},
date = {2024-04-01},
urldate = {2024-05-02},
abstract = {Marine ecosystems provide essential services to the Earth System and
society. These ecosystems are threatened by anthropogenic activities and
climate change. Climate change increases the risk of passing tipping
points; for example, the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation
(AMOC) might tip under future global warming leading to additional
changes in the climate system. Here, we look at the effect of an AMOC
weakening on marine ecosystems by forcing the Community Earth System
Model v2 (CESM2) with low (SSP1-2.6) and high (SSP5-8.5) emission
scenarios from 2015 to 2100. An additional freshwater flux is added in
the North Atlantic to induce extra weakening of the AMOC. In CESM2, the
AMOC weakening has a large impact on phytoplankton biomass and
temperature fields through various mechanisms that change the supply of
nutrients to the surface ocean. We drive a marine ecosystem model,
EcoOcean, with phytoplankton biomass and temperature fields from CESM2.
In EcoOcean, we see negative impacts in Total System Biomass (TSB),
which are larger for high trophic level organisms. The strongest net
effect is seen in the high emission scenario, but the effect of the
extra AMOC weakening on TSB is larger in the low emission scenario. On
top of anthropogenic climate change, TSB decreases by -3.78% and
-2.03% in SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-8.5, respectively due to the AMOC
weakening. These results show that marine ecosystems will be under
increased threat if the AMOC weakens which might put additional stresses
on socio-economic systems that are dependent on marine biodiversity as a
food and income source.},
keywords = {AMOC, EcoOcean, systematic assessments},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {misc}
}
Marine ecosystems provide essential services to the Earth System and
society. These ecosystems are threatened by anthropogenic activities and
climate change. Climate change increases the risk of passing tipping
points; for example, the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation
(AMOC) might tip under future global warming leading to additional
changes in the climate system. Here, we look at the effect of an AMOC
weakening on marine ecosystems by forcing the Community Earth System
Model v2 (CESM2) with low (SSP1-2.6) and high (SSP5-8.5) emission
scenarios from 2015 to 2100. An additional freshwater flux is added in
the North Atlantic to induce extra weakening of the AMOC. In CESM2, the
AMOC weakening has a large impact on phytoplankton biomass and
temperature fields through various mechanisms that change the supply of
nutrients to the surface ocean. We drive a marine ecosystem model,
EcoOcean, with phytoplankton biomass and temperature fields from CESM2.
In EcoOcean, we see negative impacts in Total System Biomass (TSB),
which are larger for high trophic level organisms. The strongest net
effect is seen in the high emission scenario, but the effect of the
extra AMOC weakening on TSB is larger in the low emission scenario. On
top of anthropogenic climate change, TSB decreases by -3.78% and
-2.03% in SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-8.5, respectively due to the AMOC
weakening. These results show that marine ecosystems will be under
increased threat if the AMOC weakens which might put additional stresses
on socio-economic systems that are dependent on marine biodiversity as a
food and income source.
society. These ecosystems are threatened by anthropogenic activities and
climate change. Climate change increases the risk of passing tipping
points; for example, the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation
(AMOC) might tip under future global warming leading to additional
changes in the climate system. Here, we look at the effect of an AMOC
weakening on marine ecosystems by forcing the Community Earth System
Model v2 (CESM2) with low (SSP1-2.6) and high (SSP5-8.5) emission
scenarios from 2015 to 2100. An additional freshwater flux is added in
the North Atlantic to induce extra weakening of the AMOC. In CESM2, the
AMOC weakening has a large impact on phytoplankton biomass and
temperature fields through various mechanisms that change the supply of
nutrients to the surface ocean. We drive a marine ecosystem model,
EcoOcean, with phytoplankton biomass and temperature fields from CESM2.
In EcoOcean, we see negative impacts in Total System Biomass (TSB),
which are larger for high trophic level organisms. The strongest net
effect is seen in the high emission scenario, but the effect of the
extra AMOC weakening on TSB is larger in the low emission scenario. On
top of anthropogenic climate change, TSB decreases by -3.78% and
-2.03% in SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-8.5, respectively due to the AMOC
weakening. These results show that marine ecosystems will be under
increased threat if the AMOC weakens which might put additional stresses
on socio-economic systems that are dependent on marine biodiversity as a
food and income source.
PhD Theses
15.
Steenbeek, Jeroen; Christensen, Villy; Fulton, Elizabeth A.; Infantes, Manuel Espino
Ecosystem modelling for the ocean decade - facing the challenge PhD Thesis
Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya, 2024.
Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Tags: EcoOcean, Ocean Decade, OceanViz, Software engineering, systematic model calibration, systematic skill assessments
@phdthesis{steenbeek_ecosystem_2024,
title = {Ecosystem modelling for the ocean decade - facing the challenge},
author = {Jeroen Steenbeek and Villy Christensen and Elizabeth A. Fulton and Manuel Espino Infantes},
url = {http://hdl.handle.net/2117/417801},
doi = {10.5821/dissertation-2117-417801},
year = {2024},
date = {2024-10-01},
urldate = {2025-01-07},
school = {Universitat Polit\`{e}cnica de Catalunya},
abstract = {(English) The worlds’marine ecosystems are degrading under wide ranges of ever intensifying, diversifying and co-occurring human pressures. Ecosystem-based management (EBM) approaches have emerged as an alternative to ineffective single species and single sector management, veering away from siloed top-down approaches towards science-based, participatory processes that recognise connections across the system and seek to balance economic benefits with sustainably harvested and healthy ecosystems. To galvanize a global push towards EBM, the United Nations declaration of the Decade of Ocean Science for Sustainable Development (Ocean Decade) has given the oceanographic community a unique imperative to transform marine sciences into holistic, participatory, transparent and inclusive forms that involve and serve society.
Transforming actual ocean sciences is easier said than done. Marine Ecosystem Models or MEMs are powerful mathematical tools for understanding past marine ecosystem and their dynamics under cumulative pressures, and have utility for predicting how ecosystems may continue to develop under scenarios of change. MEMs are widely used in science, and have significant utility to advice decision making and policy. However, despite decades of scientific progress, and despite an abundance of scientific recipes in the literature that can be deployed towards the aims of the Ocean Decade, the actual uptake of MEMs in management remains low.
This dissertation explores why this is, and argues that the actual uptake of MEMs in policy and society is in part hampered by a factor largely ignored by the marine sciences: technical issues, institutionalized by the current competitive and
achievement-driven academic funding model. The dissertation is based on four manuscripts, which explore the specific challenges raised by the Ocean Decade, and define and implement working prototypes to demonstrate that the gap between theory and practice can be bridged.
The first challenge, enabling decision processes to use MEMs, is addressed in manuscript 1 where a MEM is integrated into a decision support tool for marine spatial planning, beyond the operational control of marine scientists. The second challenge, related to meaningfully communicating MEM output to outside audiences, is addressed in manuscript 2 where a MEM is interconnected with a 3D gaming engine to empathically visualize environmental change. The last challenge, making sure that MEM output is robust, is discussed in manuscripts 3 and 4. Of these, the first manuscript explores the reasons behind lack of systematic MEM assessments and puts forth a potential framework to overcome this 30-year old limitation. Manuscript 4 introduces a working and open-source prototype of that framework.
Overall, these studies show that relatively simple software engineering can empower the use of MEMs towards the aims of the Ocean Decade, EBM, and beyond. This dissertation underscores that scientific and technical developments must go hand in hand, but also suggests that the status quo may not change unless long-term tool development and support become academic funding priorities. Last, although the prototypes developed in this dissertation should be taken as ideas that need further maturing in future research, the ideas throughout irrevocably demonstrate that the field of marine ecosystem modelling with relatively simple means can be made operational for the Ocean Decade. If anything, this dissertation is a rallying cry to the global marine ecosystem modelling community to rethink and reshape how we build, validate, calibrate and deploy our tools, with the aim to reach and involve the audiences that need marine science advice but do not have the means to generate it.
(Catal\`{a}) Els ecosistemes marins del m\'{o}n s'estan degradant sota un ampli ventall de pressions humanes combinades que s'intensifiquen i es diversifiquen. Els enfocaments de gesti\'{o} basada en ecosistemes (EBM) han sorgit com una alternativa a la gesti\'{o} inefica\c{c}, transitant des d´enfocaments sectorials de dalt a baix cap a processos participatius recolzats en la ci\`{e}ncia que reconeixen connexions a nivell de tot el sistema i busquen equilibrar el benefici econ\`{o}mic amb ecosistemes saludables i sostenibles. El Decenni de les Ci\`{e}ncies Oce\`{a}niques per al Desenvolupament Sostenible de les Nacions Unides ha traslladat a la comunitat oceanogr\`{a}fica l´imperatiu de transformar les ci\`{e}ncies marines mitjan\c{c}ant enfocaments hol\'{i}stics, participatius, transparents i inclusius que involucrin i serveixin a la societat.
Transformar les ci\`{e}ncies oce\`{a}niques actuals \'{e}s dif\'{i}cil. Els models d'ecosistemes marins (MEM) s\'{o}n eines matem\`{a}tiques poderoses per comprendre la din\`{a}mica passada dels ecosistemes marins i el seu canvi sota pressions acumulatives, i capaces de predir com els ecosistemes poden continuar desenvolupant-se en escenaris canviants. Els MEM s'utilitzen \`{a}mpliament en ci\`{e}ncia i tenen una gran utilitat per assessorar pol\'{i}tiques i prendre decisions. No obstant aix\`{o}, malgrat d\`{e}cades de progr\'{e}s i de l'abund\`{a}ncia de recomanacions cient\'{i}fiques que poden implementar-se per aconseguir els objectius del Decenni dels Oceans, l'adopci\'{o} real dels MEM en la gesti\'{o} continua sent baixa.
Aquesta tesi explora les raons d'aquesta situaci\'{o} i sost\'{e} que l'adopci\'{o} real dels MEM en les pol\'{i}tiques i la societat es veu en part obstaculitzada per un factor ignorat en gran part per les ci\`{e}ncies marines: els problemes t\`{e}cnics, institucionalitzats pel model actual de finan\c{c}ament acad\`{e}mic competitiu i orientat a resultats. La tesi es basa en quatre manuscrits, que exploren els desafiaments espec\'{i}fics que planteja la d\`{e}cada dels oceans i defineixen i implementen prototips funcionals que mostren que es pot salvar la bretxa entre la teoria i la pr\`{a}ctica.
El primer desafiament, permetre que els processos de decisi\'{o} utilitzin MEM, s'aborda al manuscrit 1, on un MEM s'integra en una eina de suport a la decisi\'{o} per a la planificaci\'{o} de l'espai mar\'{i}, sense necessitat de control operatiu dels cient\'{i}fics marins. El segon desafiament, relacionat amb la comunicaci\'{o} significativa de la sortida del MEM a audi\`{e}ncies externes, s'aborda al manuscrit 2, en el qual un MEM s’interconnecta amb un motor de joc 3D per mostrar visualment el canvi ambiental. El desafiament final, garantir que els resultats del MEM siguin s\`{o}lids, es discuteix en els manuscrits 3 i 4. D'aquests, el primer explora les raons de la manca d'avaluacions sistem\`{a}tiques dels MEM i proposa un marc potencial per superar aquesta limitaci\'{o} persistent, mentre que el segon presenta un prototip funcional de codi obert d'aquest marc.
En conjunt, aquests estudis mostren que una enginyeria de programari relativament senzilla pot potenciar l'\'{u}s de MEM per als objectius de la d\`{e}cada oce\`{a}nica, l’EBM i m\'{e}s enll\`{a}. Aquesta tesi subratlla que els avan\c{c}os cient\'{i}fics i t\`{e}cnics han d'anar de bracet, per\`{o} tamb\'{e} suggereix que el l'estancament actual no pot canviar tret que el desenvolupament i el suport a llarg termini a les eines sigui una prioritat de finan\c{c}ament. Encara que els prototips desenvolupats en aquesta tesi han de prendre´s com a idees que necessiten madurar-se m\'{e}s en futures investigacions, els treballs presentats mostren amb claredat que la modelitzaci\'{o} d'ecosistemes marins amb mitjans relativament senzills pot fer-se operativa per a la D\`{e}cada dels Oceans.
Finalment, aquest treball \'{e}s una crida urgent a la comunitat mundial de modelitzaci\'{o} d'ecosistemes marins per repensar i remodelar com constru\"{i}m, validem, calibrem i despleguem les nostres eines, amb l'objectiu d'arribar i implicar a les audi\`{e}ncies que necessitin aquest assessorament.
(Espa\~{n}ol) Los ecosistemas marinos del mundo se est\'{a}n degradando por efecto de una amplia gama de presiones humanas combinadas que se intensifican y diversifican. Los enfoques de gesti\'{o}n basada en ecosistemas (EBM) han surgido como alternativa a la gesti\'{o}n ineficaz, transitando desde enfoques sectoriales basados en una l\'{o}gica de arriba-abajo hacia procesos participativos apoyados en la ciencia que reconocen conexiones a nivel de todo el sistema y buscan equilibrar el beneficio econ\'{o}mico con ecosistemas saludables y sostenibles. El Decenio de las Ciencias Oce\'{a}nicas para el Desarrollo Sostenible de las Naciones Unidas ha trasladado a la comunidad oceanogr\'{a}fica el imperativo de transformar las ciencias marinas con enfoques hol\'{i}sticos, participativos, transparentes e inclusivos que involucren y sirvan a la sociedad.
Transformar las ciencias oce\'{a}nicas actuales es dif\'{i}cil. Los modelos de ecosistemas marinos (MEM) son herramientas matem\'{a}ticas poderosas para comprender la din\'{a}mica pasada de los ecosistemas marinos y su cambio bajo presiones acumulativas, y capaces de predecir c\'{o}mo los ecosistemas pueden continuar desarroll\'{a}ndose en escenarios cambiantes. Los MEM se utilizan ampliamente en ciencia y tienen una gran utilidad para asesorar pol\'{i}ticas y tomar decisiones. Sin embargo, a pesar de d\'{e}cadas de progreso y de la abundancia de recomendaciones en la literatura cient\'{i}fica que pueden implementarse para alcanzar los objetivos del Decenio de los Oc\'{e}anos, la adopci\'{o}n real de los MEM en la gesti\'{o}n sigue siendo baja.
Esta tesis explora las razones de esta situaci\'{o}n y sostiene que la adopci\'{o}n real de los MEM en las pol\'{i}ticas y la sociedad se ve obstaculizada en parte por un factor ignorado en gran medida por las ciencias marinas: los problemas t\'{e}cnicos, institucionalizados por el modelo actual de financiaci\'{o}n acad\'{e}mica competitiva y orientada a resultados. La tesis se basa en cuatro manuscritos que exploran los desaf\'{i}os espec\'{i}ficos que plantea la D\'{e}cada de los Oc\'{e}anos y definen e implementan prototipos funcionales que muestran que se puede cerrar la brecha entre la teor\'{i}a y la pr\'{a}ctica.
El primer desaf\'{i}o, permitir que los procesos de decisi\'{o}n utilicen MEM, se aborda en el manuscrito 1, en el que un MEM se integra en una herramienta de apoyo a la toma de decisiones para la planificaci\'{o}n espacial marina, sin necesidad de control operativo de los cient\'{i}ficos marinos. El segundo desaf\'{i}o, relacionado con la comunicaci\'{o}n efectiva de los resultados de MEM a audiencias externas, se aborda en el manuscrito 2, en el que un MEM se interconecta con un motor de juego 3D para mostrar visualmente el cambio ambiental. El desaf\'{i}o final, garantizar que los resultados del MEM sean s\'{o}lidos, se analiza en los manuscritos 3 y 4. De estos, el primero explora las razones de la falta de evaluaciones sistem\'{a}ticas del MEM y propone un marco para superar esta limitaci\'{o}n persistente, mientras que el segundo presenta un prototipo funcional de c\'{o}digo abierto de este marco.
En conjunto, estos estudios muestran que una ingenier\'{i}a de software relativamente sencilla puede potenciar el uso de MEM hacia los objetivos de la D\'{e}cada de los Oc\'{e}anos, la EBM y m\'{a}s all\'{a}. Esta tesis subraya que los avances cient\'{i}ficos y t\'{e}cnicos deben ir de la mano, pero tambi\'{e}n sugiere que el statu quo puede no cambiar a menos que el apoyo a largo plazo a las herramientas sea una prioridad de financiaci\'{o}n. Por \'{u}ltimo, aunque los prototipos desarrollados en esta tesis deben tomarse como ideas que necesitan madurarse m\'{a}s, los trabajos presentados muestran inequ\'{i}vocamente que el campo de la modelizaci\'{o}n de ecosistemas marinos con medios relativamente simples puede hacerse operativo para el Decenio de los Oc\'{e}anos. Finalmente, este trabajo aspira a motivar a la comunidad mundial de modelizaci\'{o}n de ecosistemas marinos para repensar c\'{o}mo construimos, validamos, calibramos e implementamos nuestras herramientas, con el objetivo de llegar e involucrar a las audiencias que necesiten ese asesoramiento.},
keywords = {EcoOcean, Ocean Decade, OceanViz, Software engineering, systematic model calibration, systematic skill assessments},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {phdthesis}
}
(English) The worlds’marine ecosystems are degrading under wide ranges of ever intensifying, diversifying and co-occurring human pressures. Ecosystem-based management (EBM) approaches have emerged as an alternative to ineffective single species and single sector management, veering away from siloed top-down approaches towards science-based, participatory processes that recognise connections across the system and seek to balance economic benefits with sustainably harvested and healthy ecosystems. To galvanize a global push towards EBM, the United Nations declaration of the Decade of Ocean Science for Sustainable Development (Ocean Decade) has given the oceanographic community a unique imperative to transform marine sciences into holistic, participatory, transparent and inclusive forms that involve and serve society.
Transforming actual ocean sciences is easier said than done. Marine Ecosystem Models or MEMs are powerful mathematical tools for understanding past marine ecosystem and their dynamics under cumulative pressures, and have utility for predicting how ecosystems may continue to develop under scenarios of change. MEMs are widely used in science, and have significant utility to advice decision making and policy. However, despite decades of scientific progress, and despite an abundance of scientific recipes in the literature that can be deployed towards the aims of the Ocean Decade, the actual uptake of MEMs in management remains low.
This dissertation explores why this is, and argues that the actual uptake of MEMs in policy and society is in part hampered by a factor largely ignored by the marine sciences: technical issues, institutionalized by the current competitive and
achievement-driven academic funding model. The dissertation is based on four manuscripts, which explore the specific challenges raised by the Ocean Decade, and define and implement working prototypes to demonstrate that the gap between theory and practice can be bridged.
The first challenge, enabling decision processes to use MEMs, is addressed in manuscript 1 where a MEM is integrated into a decision support tool for marine spatial planning, beyond the operational control of marine scientists. The second challenge, related to meaningfully communicating MEM output to outside audiences, is addressed in manuscript 2 where a MEM is interconnected with a 3D gaming engine to empathically visualize environmental change. The last challenge, making sure that MEM output is robust, is discussed in manuscripts 3 and 4. Of these, the first manuscript explores the reasons behind lack of systematic MEM assessments and puts forth a potential framework to overcome this 30-year old limitation. Manuscript 4 introduces a working and open-source prototype of that framework.
Overall, these studies show that relatively simple software engineering can empower the use of MEMs towards the aims of the Ocean Decade, EBM, and beyond. This dissertation underscores that scientific and technical developments must go hand in hand, but also suggests that the status quo may not change unless long-term tool development and support become academic funding priorities. Last, although the prototypes developed in this dissertation should be taken as ideas that need further maturing in future research, the ideas throughout irrevocably demonstrate that the field of marine ecosystem modelling with relatively simple means can be made operational for the Ocean Decade. If anything, this dissertation is a rallying cry to the global marine ecosystem modelling community to rethink and reshape how we build, validate, calibrate and deploy our tools, with the aim to reach and involve the audiences that need marine science advice but do not have the means to generate it.
(Català) Els ecosistemes marins del món s'estan degradant sota un ampli ventall de pressions humanes combinades que s'intensifiquen i es diversifiquen. Els enfocaments de gestió basada en ecosistemes (EBM) han sorgit com una alternativa a la gestió ineficaç, transitant des d´enfocaments sectorials de dalt a baix cap a processos participatius recolzats en la ciència que reconeixen connexions a nivell de tot el sistema i busquen equilibrar el benefici econòmic amb ecosistemes saludables i sostenibles. El Decenni de les Ciències Oceàniques per al Desenvolupament Sostenible de les Nacions Unides ha traslladat a la comunitat oceanogràfica l´imperatiu de transformar les ciències marines mitjançant enfocaments holístics, participatius, transparents i inclusius que involucrin i serveixin a la societat.
Transformar les ciències oceàniques actuals és difícil. Els models d'ecosistemes marins (MEM) són eines matemàtiques poderoses per comprendre la dinàmica passada dels ecosistemes marins i el seu canvi sota pressions acumulatives, i capaces de predir com els ecosistemes poden continuar desenvolupant-se en escenaris canviants. Els MEM s'utilitzen àmpliament en ciència i tenen una gran utilitat per assessorar polítiques i prendre decisions. No obstant això, malgrat dècades de progrés i de l'abundància de recomanacions científiques que poden implementar-se per aconseguir els objectius del Decenni dels Oceans, l'adopció real dels MEM en la gestió continua sent baixa.
Aquesta tesi explora les raons d'aquesta situació i sosté que l'adopció real dels MEM en les polítiques i la societat es veu en part obstaculitzada per un factor ignorat en gran part per les ciències marines: els problemes tècnics, institucionalitzats pel model actual de finançament acadèmic competitiu i orientat a resultats. La tesi es basa en quatre manuscrits, que exploren els desafiaments específics que planteja la dècada dels oceans i defineixen i implementen prototips funcionals que mostren que es pot salvar la bretxa entre la teoria i la pràctica.
El primer desafiament, permetre que els processos de decisió utilitzin MEM, s'aborda al manuscrit 1, on un MEM s'integra en una eina de suport a la decisió per a la planificació de l'espai marí, sense necessitat de control operatiu dels científics marins. El segon desafiament, relacionat amb la comunicació significativa de la sortida del MEM a audiències externes, s'aborda al manuscrit 2, en el qual un MEM s’interconnecta amb un motor de joc 3D per mostrar visualment el canvi ambiental. El desafiament final, garantir que els resultats del MEM siguin sòlids, es discuteix en els manuscrits 3 i 4. D'aquests, el primer explora les raons de la manca d'avaluacions sistemàtiques dels MEM i proposa un marc potencial per superar aquesta limitació persistent, mentre que el segon presenta un prototip funcional de codi obert d'aquest marc.
En conjunt, aquests estudis mostren que una enginyeria de programari relativament senzilla pot potenciar l'ús de MEM per als objectius de la dècada oceànica, l’EBM i més enllà. Aquesta tesi subratlla que els avanços científics i tècnics han d'anar de bracet, però també suggereix que el l'estancament actual no pot canviar tret que el desenvolupament i el suport a llarg termini a les eines sigui una prioritat de finançament. Encara que els prototips desenvolupats en aquesta tesi han de prendre´s com a idees que necessiten madurar-se més en futures investigacions, els treballs presentats mostren amb claredat que la modelització d'ecosistemes marins amb mitjans relativament senzills pot fer-se operativa per a la Dècada dels Oceans.
Finalment, aquest treball és una crida urgent a la comunitat mundial de modelització d'ecosistemes marins per repensar i remodelar com construïm, validem, calibrem i despleguem les nostres eines, amb l'objectiu d'arribar i implicar a les audiències que necessitin aquest assessorament.
(Español) Los ecosistemas marinos del mundo se están degradando por efecto de una amplia gama de presiones humanas combinadas que se intensifican y diversifican. Los enfoques de gestión basada en ecosistemas (EBM) han surgido como alternativa a la gestión ineficaz, transitando desde enfoques sectoriales basados en una lógica de arriba-abajo hacia procesos participativos apoyados en la ciencia que reconocen conexiones a nivel de todo el sistema y buscan equilibrar el beneficio económico con ecosistemas saludables y sostenibles. El Decenio de las Ciencias Oceánicas para el Desarrollo Sostenible de las Naciones Unidas ha trasladado a la comunidad oceanográfica el imperativo de transformar las ciencias marinas con enfoques holísticos, participativos, transparentes e inclusivos que involucren y sirvan a la sociedad.
Transformar las ciencias oceánicas actuales es difícil. Los modelos de ecosistemas marinos (MEM) son herramientas matemáticas poderosas para comprender la dinámica pasada de los ecosistemas marinos y su cambio bajo presiones acumulativas, y capaces de predecir cómo los ecosistemas pueden continuar desarrollándose en escenarios cambiantes. Los MEM se utilizan ampliamente en ciencia y tienen una gran utilidad para asesorar políticas y tomar decisiones. Sin embargo, a pesar de décadas de progreso y de la abundancia de recomendaciones en la literatura científica que pueden implementarse para alcanzar los objetivos del Decenio de los Océanos, la adopción real de los MEM en la gestión sigue siendo baja.
Esta tesis explora las razones de esta situación y sostiene que la adopción real de los MEM en las políticas y la sociedad se ve obstaculizada en parte por un factor ignorado en gran medida por las ciencias marinas: los problemas técnicos, institucionalizados por el modelo actual de financiación académica competitiva y orientada a resultados. La tesis se basa en cuatro manuscritos que exploran los desafíos específicos que plantea la Década de los Océanos y definen e implementan prototipos funcionales que muestran que se puede cerrar la brecha entre la teoría y la práctica.
El primer desafío, permitir que los procesos de decisión utilicen MEM, se aborda en el manuscrito 1, en el que un MEM se integra en una herramienta de apoyo a la toma de decisiones para la planificación espacial marina, sin necesidad de control operativo de los científicos marinos. El segundo desafío, relacionado con la comunicación efectiva de los resultados de MEM a audiencias externas, se aborda en el manuscrito 2, en el que un MEM se interconecta con un motor de juego 3D para mostrar visualmente el cambio ambiental. El desafío final, garantizar que los resultados del MEM sean sólidos, se analiza en los manuscritos 3 y 4. De estos, el primero explora las razones de la falta de evaluaciones sistemáticas del MEM y propone un marco para superar esta limitación persistente, mientras que el segundo presenta un prototipo funcional de código abierto de este marco.
En conjunto, estos estudios muestran que una ingeniería de software relativamente sencilla puede potenciar el uso de MEM hacia los objetivos de la Década de los Océanos, la EBM y más allá. Esta tesis subraya que los avances científicos y técnicos deben ir de la mano, pero también sugiere que el statu quo puede no cambiar a menos que el apoyo a largo plazo a las herramientas sea una prioridad de financiación. Por último, aunque los prototipos desarrollados en esta tesis deben tomarse como ideas que necesitan madurarse más, los trabajos presentados muestran inequívocamente que el campo de la modelización de ecosistemas marinos con medios relativamente simples puede hacerse operativo para el Decenio de los Océanos. Finalmente, este trabajo aspira a motivar a la comunidad mundial de modelización de ecosistemas marinos para repensar cómo construimos, validamos, calibramos e implementamos nuestras herramientas, con el objetivo de llegar e involucrar a las audiencias que necesiten ese asesoramiento.
Transforming actual ocean sciences is easier said than done. Marine Ecosystem Models or MEMs are powerful mathematical tools for understanding past marine ecosystem and their dynamics under cumulative pressures, and have utility for predicting how ecosystems may continue to develop under scenarios of change. MEMs are widely used in science, and have significant utility to advice decision making and policy. However, despite decades of scientific progress, and despite an abundance of scientific recipes in the literature that can be deployed towards the aims of the Ocean Decade, the actual uptake of MEMs in management remains low.
This dissertation explores why this is, and argues that the actual uptake of MEMs in policy and society is in part hampered by a factor largely ignored by the marine sciences: technical issues, institutionalized by the current competitive and
achievement-driven academic funding model. The dissertation is based on four manuscripts, which explore the specific challenges raised by the Ocean Decade, and define and implement working prototypes to demonstrate that the gap between theory and practice can be bridged.
The first challenge, enabling decision processes to use MEMs, is addressed in manuscript 1 where a MEM is integrated into a decision support tool for marine spatial planning, beyond the operational control of marine scientists. The second challenge, related to meaningfully communicating MEM output to outside audiences, is addressed in manuscript 2 where a MEM is interconnected with a 3D gaming engine to empathically visualize environmental change. The last challenge, making sure that MEM output is robust, is discussed in manuscripts 3 and 4. Of these, the first manuscript explores the reasons behind lack of systematic MEM assessments and puts forth a potential framework to overcome this 30-year old limitation. Manuscript 4 introduces a working and open-source prototype of that framework.
Overall, these studies show that relatively simple software engineering can empower the use of MEMs towards the aims of the Ocean Decade, EBM, and beyond. This dissertation underscores that scientific and technical developments must go hand in hand, but also suggests that the status quo may not change unless long-term tool development and support become academic funding priorities. Last, although the prototypes developed in this dissertation should be taken as ideas that need further maturing in future research, the ideas throughout irrevocably demonstrate that the field of marine ecosystem modelling with relatively simple means can be made operational for the Ocean Decade. If anything, this dissertation is a rallying cry to the global marine ecosystem modelling community to rethink and reshape how we build, validate, calibrate and deploy our tools, with the aim to reach and involve the audiences that need marine science advice but do not have the means to generate it.
(Català) Els ecosistemes marins del món s'estan degradant sota un ampli ventall de pressions humanes combinades que s'intensifiquen i es diversifiquen. Els enfocaments de gestió basada en ecosistemes (EBM) han sorgit com una alternativa a la gestió ineficaç, transitant des d´enfocaments sectorials de dalt a baix cap a processos participatius recolzats en la ciència que reconeixen connexions a nivell de tot el sistema i busquen equilibrar el benefici econòmic amb ecosistemes saludables i sostenibles. El Decenni de les Ciències Oceàniques per al Desenvolupament Sostenible de les Nacions Unides ha traslladat a la comunitat oceanogràfica l´imperatiu de transformar les ciències marines mitjançant enfocaments holístics, participatius, transparents i inclusius que involucrin i serveixin a la societat.
Transformar les ciències oceàniques actuals és difícil. Els models d'ecosistemes marins (MEM) són eines matemàtiques poderoses per comprendre la dinàmica passada dels ecosistemes marins i el seu canvi sota pressions acumulatives, i capaces de predir com els ecosistemes poden continuar desenvolupant-se en escenaris canviants. Els MEM s'utilitzen àmpliament en ciència i tenen una gran utilitat per assessorar polítiques i prendre decisions. No obstant això, malgrat dècades de progrés i de l'abundància de recomanacions científiques que poden implementar-se per aconseguir els objectius del Decenni dels Oceans, l'adopció real dels MEM en la gestió continua sent baixa.
Aquesta tesi explora les raons d'aquesta situació i sosté que l'adopció real dels MEM en les polítiques i la societat es veu en part obstaculitzada per un factor ignorat en gran part per les ciències marines: els problemes tècnics, institucionalitzats pel model actual de finançament acadèmic competitiu i orientat a resultats. La tesi es basa en quatre manuscrits, que exploren els desafiaments específics que planteja la dècada dels oceans i defineixen i implementen prototips funcionals que mostren que es pot salvar la bretxa entre la teoria i la pràctica.
El primer desafiament, permetre que els processos de decisió utilitzin MEM, s'aborda al manuscrit 1, on un MEM s'integra en una eina de suport a la decisió per a la planificació de l'espai marí, sense necessitat de control operatiu dels científics marins. El segon desafiament, relacionat amb la comunicació significativa de la sortida del MEM a audiències externes, s'aborda al manuscrit 2, en el qual un MEM s’interconnecta amb un motor de joc 3D per mostrar visualment el canvi ambiental. El desafiament final, garantir que els resultats del MEM siguin sòlids, es discuteix en els manuscrits 3 i 4. D'aquests, el primer explora les raons de la manca d'avaluacions sistemàtiques dels MEM i proposa un marc potencial per superar aquesta limitació persistent, mentre que el segon presenta un prototip funcional de codi obert d'aquest marc.
En conjunt, aquests estudis mostren que una enginyeria de programari relativament senzilla pot potenciar l'ús de MEM per als objectius de la dècada oceànica, l’EBM i més enllà. Aquesta tesi subratlla que els avanços científics i tècnics han d'anar de bracet, però també suggereix que el l'estancament actual no pot canviar tret que el desenvolupament i el suport a llarg termini a les eines sigui una prioritat de finançament. Encara que els prototips desenvolupats en aquesta tesi han de prendre´s com a idees que necessiten madurar-se més en futures investigacions, els treballs presentats mostren amb claredat que la modelització d'ecosistemes marins amb mitjans relativament senzills pot fer-se operativa per a la Dècada dels Oceans.
Finalment, aquest treball és una crida urgent a la comunitat mundial de modelització d'ecosistemes marins per repensar i remodelar com construïm, validem, calibrem i despleguem les nostres eines, amb l'objectiu d'arribar i implicar a les audiències que necessitin aquest assessorament.
(Español) Los ecosistemas marinos del mundo se están degradando por efecto de una amplia gama de presiones humanas combinadas que se intensifican y diversifican. Los enfoques de gestión basada en ecosistemas (EBM) han surgido como alternativa a la gestión ineficaz, transitando desde enfoques sectoriales basados en una lógica de arriba-abajo hacia procesos participativos apoyados en la ciencia que reconocen conexiones a nivel de todo el sistema y buscan equilibrar el beneficio económico con ecosistemas saludables y sostenibles. El Decenio de las Ciencias Oceánicas para el Desarrollo Sostenible de las Naciones Unidas ha trasladado a la comunidad oceanográfica el imperativo de transformar las ciencias marinas con enfoques holísticos, participativos, transparentes e inclusivos que involucren y sirvan a la sociedad.
Transformar las ciencias oceánicas actuales es difícil. Los modelos de ecosistemas marinos (MEM) son herramientas matemáticas poderosas para comprender la dinámica pasada de los ecosistemas marinos y su cambio bajo presiones acumulativas, y capaces de predecir cómo los ecosistemas pueden continuar desarrollándose en escenarios cambiantes. Los MEM se utilizan ampliamente en ciencia y tienen una gran utilidad para asesorar políticas y tomar decisiones. Sin embargo, a pesar de décadas de progreso y de la abundancia de recomendaciones en la literatura científica que pueden implementarse para alcanzar los objetivos del Decenio de los Océanos, la adopción real de los MEM en la gestión sigue siendo baja.
Esta tesis explora las razones de esta situación y sostiene que la adopción real de los MEM en las políticas y la sociedad se ve obstaculizada en parte por un factor ignorado en gran medida por las ciencias marinas: los problemas técnicos, institucionalizados por el modelo actual de financiación académica competitiva y orientada a resultados. La tesis se basa en cuatro manuscritos que exploran los desafíos específicos que plantea la Década de los Océanos y definen e implementan prototipos funcionales que muestran que se puede cerrar la brecha entre la teoría y la práctica.
El primer desafío, permitir que los procesos de decisión utilicen MEM, se aborda en el manuscrito 1, en el que un MEM se integra en una herramienta de apoyo a la toma de decisiones para la planificación espacial marina, sin necesidad de control operativo de los científicos marinos. El segundo desafío, relacionado con la comunicación efectiva de los resultados de MEM a audiencias externas, se aborda en el manuscrito 2, en el que un MEM se interconecta con un motor de juego 3D para mostrar visualmente el cambio ambiental. El desafío final, garantizar que los resultados del MEM sean sólidos, se analiza en los manuscritos 3 y 4. De estos, el primero explora las razones de la falta de evaluaciones sistemáticas del MEM y propone un marco para superar esta limitación persistente, mientras que el segundo presenta un prototipo funcional de código abierto de este marco.
En conjunto, estos estudios muestran que una ingeniería de software relativamente sencilla puede potenciar el uso de MEM hacia los objetivos de la Década de los Océanos, la EBM y más allá. Esta tesis subraya que los avances científicos y técnicos deben ir de la mano, pero también sugiere que el statu quo puede no cambiar a menos que el apoyo a largo plazo a las herramientas sea una prioridad de financiación. Por último, aunque los prototipos desarrollados en esta tesis deben tomarse como ideas que necesitan madurarse más, los trabajos presentados muestran inequívocamente que el campo de la modelización de ecosistemas marinos con medios relativamente simples puede hacerse operativo para el Decenio de los Océanos. Finalmente, este trabajo aspira a motivar a la comunidad mundial de modelización de ecosistemas marinos para repensar cómo construimos, validamos, calibramos e implementamos nuestras herramientas, con el objetivo de llegar e involucrar a las audiencias que necesiten ese asesoramiento.
2023
Journal Articles
16.
Fernández-Corredor, Elena; Ouled-Cheikh, Jazel; Navarro, Joan; Coll, Marta
An Overview of the Ecological Roles of Mediterranean Chondrichthyans through Extinction Scenarios Journal Article
In: Reviews in Fish Biology and Fisheries, 2023, ISSN: 0960-3166, 1573-5184.
Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Tags:
@article{fernandez-corredorOverviewEcologicalRoles2023,
title = {An Overview of the Ecological Roles of Mediterranean Chondrichthyans through Extinction Scenarios},
author = {Elena Fern\'{a}ndez-Corredor and Jazel Ouled-Cheikh and Joan Navarro and Marta Coll},
doi = {10.1007/s11160-023-09822-2},
issn = {0960-3166, 1573-5184},
year = {2023},
date = {2023-12-01},
urldate = {2024-01-18},
journal = {Reviews in Fish Biology and Fisheries},
abstract = {Abstract Fisheries, climate change, and habitat degradation are triggering the depletion of marine animal populations worldwide. The ecological impacts of the extinction of keystone species such as chondrichthyans can be far-reaching along the entire food web. Here, we first reviewed the trophic ecology of the 81 chondrichthyan species of the Mediterranean Sea through a literature search. We then compared prey composition among chondrichthyan species considering their taxonomic group, body size, and habitat. Finally, we represented the Mediterranean meta-web, emphasizing the chondrichthyan groups, using a qualitative network approach, and tested the vulnerability of the food web to selective removals of threatened chondrichthyan species by applying different extinction scenarios. We found trophic data for 53 species, which highlights the need to complement current knowledge gaps for many species. Diet dissimilarities between chondrichthyan taxa were detected, mainly due to the consumption of crustaceans and cephalopods. We found that large chondrichthyan species had a major contribution to the trophic dissimilarity and the omnivory of the food web when compared to small and medium-sized species. Conservation efforts within the Mediterranean chondrichthyan community may be particularly important for this group, as high levels of omnivory could moderate the occurrence of trophic cascades, while high trophic similarity can lead to less diverse ecosystems. This study provides a first overview of the ecological role of chondrichthyans in the Mediterranean and highlights the urgent research needed to increase the knowledge about these key species in the Mediterranean marine food web.},
keywords = {},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
Abstract Fisheries, climate change, and habitat degradation are triggering the depletion of marine animal populations worldwide. The ecological impacts of the extinction of keystone species such as chondrichthyans can be far-reaching along the entire food web. Here, we first reviewed the trophic ecology of the 81 chondrichthyan species of the Mediterranean Sea through a literature search. We then compared prey composition among chondrichthyan species considering their taxonomic group, body size, and habitat. Finally, we represented the Mediterranean meta-web, emphasizing the chondrichthyan groups, using a qualitative network approach, and tested the vulnerability of the food web to selective removals of threatened chondrichthyan species by applying different extinction scenarios. We found trophic data for 53 species, which highlights the need to complement current knowledge gaps for many species. Diet dissimilarities between chondrichthyan taxa were detected, mainly due to the consumption of crustaceans and cephalopods. We found that large chondrichthyan species had a major contribution to the trophic dissimilarity and the omnivory of the food web when compared to small and medium-sized species. Conservation efforts within the Mediterranean chondrichthyan community may be particularly important for this group, as high levels of omnivory could moderate the occurrence of trophic cascades, while high trophic similarity can lead to less diverse ecosystems. This study provides a first overview of the ecological role of chondrichthyans in the Mediterranean and highlights the urgent research needed to increase the knowledge about these key species in the Mediterranean marine food web.
17.
Rodriguez-Perez, Ana; Tsikliras, Athanassios C.; Gal, Gideon; Steenbeek, Jeroen; Falk-Andersson, Jannike; Heymans, Johanna J.
Using Ecosystem Models to Inform Ecosystem-Based Fisheries Management in Europe: A Review of the Policy Landscape and Related Stakeholder Needs Journal Article
In: Frontiers in Marine Science, vol. 10, pp. 1196329, 2023, ISSN: 2296-7745.
Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Tags:
@article{rodriguez-perezUsingEcosystemModels2023,
title = {Using Ecosystem Models to Inform Ecosystem-Based Fisheries Management in Europe: A Review of the Policy Landscape and Related Stakeholder Needs},
author = {Ana Rodriguez-Perez and Athanassios C. Tsikliras and Gideon Gal and Jeroen Steenbeek and Jannike Falk-Andersson and Johanna J. Heymans},
doi = {10.3389/fmars.2023.1196329},
issn = {2296-7745},
year = {2023},
date = {2023-10-01},
urldate = {2023-10-31},
journal = {Frontiers in Marine Science},
volume = {10},
pages = {1196329},
abstract = {The need to implement an ecosystem-based fisheries management (EBFM) is enshrined in numerous regulations and strategies, at both global and European level. In practice, it is challenging to implement EBFM because it requires a complex evaluation of interlinked management effects and environmental and climate forcing on multi-species interactions, habitat status and human activities. Ecosystem models are one of the most critical research tools to inform EBFM, because they can integrate a wide variety of data, examine multiple and complex ecosystem interactions, and can make forecasts based on specific management scenarios. However, despite clear progress in marine ecosystem modelling, many models do not address policy goals and targets, which hinders uptake in policy. In this paper, we review the global and European policies and implementing bodies which directly or indirectly have a repercussion on the implementation of EBFM. Moreover, we highlight specific stakeholder needs related to the implementation of EBFM in European waters, which ecosystem models could help address. We review the policy commitments that drive these needs and the concerns raised by stakeholders during a survey and dedicated workshop. Key topics of concern were effects of climate change; bycatch; protected areas/fisheries restricted areas; and reducing the impacts of trawling. Stakeholders also provided specific questions related to these topics which ecosystem models could help address. Scenario and data results visualizations, as well as specific barriers in using the results of ecosystem models for decision-making are also discussed. A close involvement of stakeholders in scenario development and in designing graphical outputs is important, and can help overcome some of the main barriers that can hinder uptake of models and scenarios, including a lack of understanding of the benefits and limits of ecosystem models; insufficient involvement and interaction with stakeholders; and inadequate characterization of uncertainties.},
keywords = {},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
The need to implement an ecosystem-based fisheries management (EBFM) is enshrined in numerous regulations and strategies, at both global and European level. In practice, it is challenging to implement EBFM because it requires a complex evaluation of interlinked management effects and environmental and climate forcing on multi-species interactions, habitat status and human activities. Ecosystem models are one of the most critical research tools to inform EBFM, because they can integrate a wide variety of data, examine multiple and complex ecosystem interactions, and can make forecasts based on specific management scenarios. However, despite clear progress in marine ecosystem modelling, many models do not address policy goals and targets, which hinders uptake in policy. In this paper, we review the global and European policies and implementing bodies which directly or indirectly have a repercussion on the implementation of EBFM. Moreover, we highlight specific stakeholder needs related to the implementation of EBFM in European waters, which ecosystem models could help address. We review the policy commitments that drive these needs and the concerns raised by stakeholders during a survey and dedicated workshop. Key topics of concern were effects of climate change; bycatch; protected areas/fisheries restricted areas; and reducing the impacts of trawling. Stakeholders also provided specific questions related to these topics which ecosystem models could help address. Scenario and data results visualizations, as well as specific barriers in using the results of ecosystem models for decision-making are also discussed. A close involvement of stakeholders in scenario development and in designing graphical outputs is important, and can help overcome some of the main barriers that can hinder uptake of models and scenarios, including a lack of understanding of the benefits and limits of ecosystem models; insufficient involvement and interaction with stakeholders; and inadequate characterization of uncertainties.
18.
Smith, Mason; Chagaris, David; Paperno, Richard; Markwith, Scott
Tropical Estuarine Ecosystem Change under the Interacting Influences of Future Climate and Ecosystem Restoration Journal Article
In: Global Change Biology, vol. 29, no. 20, pp. 5850–5865, 2023, ISSN: 1354-1013, 1365-2486.
Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Tags:
@article{smithTropicalEstuarineEcosystem2023,
title = {Tropical Estuarine Ecosystem Change under the Interacting Influences of Future Climate and Ecosystem Restoration},
author = {Mason Smith and David Chagaris and Richard Paperno and Scott Markwith},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.16868},
issn = {1354-1013, 1365-2486},
year = {2023},
date = {2023-10-01},
urldate = {2024-01-18},
journal = {Global Change Biology},
volume = {29},
number = {20},
pages = {5850\textendash5865},
abstract = {Abstract One of the largest restoration programs in the world, the Comprehensive Everglades Restoration Plan (CERP) aims to restore freshwater inputs to Everglades wetlands and the Florida Bay estuary. This study predicted how the Florida Bay ecosystem may respond to hydrological restoration from CERP within the context of contemporary projected impacts of sea-level rise (SLR) and increased future temperatures. A spatial\textendashtemporal dynamic model (Ecospace) was used to develop a spatiotemporal food web model incorporating environmental drivers of salinity, salinity variation, temperature, depth, distance to mangrove, and seagrass abundance and was used to predict responses of biomass, fisheries catch, and ecosystem resilience between current and future conditions. Changes in biomass between the current and future scenario suggest a suite of winners and losers, with many estuarine species increasing in both total biomass and spatial distribution. Notable biomass increases were predicted for important forage species, including bay anchovy (+32%), hardhead halfbeak (+19%), and pinfish (+31%), while decreases were predicted in mullet (-88%), clupeids (-55%), hardhead silverside (-15%), mojarras (-117%), and Portunid crabs (-16%). Increases in sportfish biomass included the angler-preferred spotted seatrout (+9%), red drum (+10%), and gray snapper (+8%), while decreases included sheepshead (-40%), Atlantic tarpon (-73%), and common snook (-507%). Ecosystem resilience and fisheries catch of angler-preferred species were predicted to improve in the future scenario in total, although a localized decline in resilience predicted for the Central Region may warrant further attention. Our results suggest the Florida Bay ecosystem is likely to achieve restoration benefits in spite of, and in some cases facilitated by, the projected future impacts from climate change due to the system's shallow depth and detrital dominance. The incorporation of climate impacts into long-term restoration planning using ecosystem modeling in similar systems facing unknown futures of SLR, warming seas, and shifting species distributions is recommended.},
keywords = {},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
Abstract One of the largest restoration programs in the world, the Comprehensive Everglades Restoration Plan (CERP) aims to restore freshwater inputs to Everglades wetlands and the Florida Bay estuary. This study predicted how the Florida Bay ecosystem may respond to hydrological restoration from CERP within the context of contemporary projected impacts of sea-level rise (SLR) and increased future temperatures. A spatial–temporal dynamic model (Ecospace) was used to develop a spatiotemporal food web model incorporating environmental drivers of salinity, salinity variation, temperature, depth, distance to mangrove, and seagrass abundance and was used to predict responses of biomass, fisheries catch, and ecosystem resilience between current and future conditions. Changes in biomass between the current and future scenario suggest a suite of winners and losers, with many estuarine species increasing in both total biomass and spatial distribution. Notable biomass increases were predicted for important forage species, including bay anchovy (+32%), hardhead halfbeak (+19%), and pinfish (+31%), while decreases were predicted in mullet (-88%), clupeids (-55%), hardhead silverside (-15%), mojarras (-117%), and Portunid crabs (-16%). Increases in sportfish biomass included the angler-preferred spotted seatrout (+9%), red drum (+10%), and gray snapper (+8%), while decreases included sheepshead (-40%), Atlantic tarpon (-73%), and common snook (-507%). Ecosystem resilience and fisheries catch of angler-preferred species were predicted to improve in the future scenario in total, although a localized decline in resilience predicted for the Central Region may warrant further attention. Our results suggest the Florida Bay ecosystem is likely to achieve restoration benefits in spite of, and in some cases facilitated by, the projected future impacts from climate change due to the system's shallow depth and detrital dominance. The incorporation of climate impacts into long-term restoration planning using ecosystem modeling in similar systems facing unknown futures of SLR, warming seas, and shifting species distributions is recommended.
19.
Gordó-Vilaseca, Cesc; Pecuchet, Laurene; Coll, Marta; Reiss, Henning; Jüterbock, Alexander; Costello, Mark John
Over 20% of Marine Fishes Shifting in the North and Barents Seas, but Not in the Norwegian Sea Journal Article
In: PeerJ, vol. 11, pp. e15801, 2023.
BibTeX | Tags:
@article{gordo-vilaseca20MarineFishes2023,
title = {Over 20% of Marine Fishes Shifting in the North and Barents Seas, but Not in the Norwegian Sea},
author = {Cesc Gord\'{o}-Vilaseca and Laurene Pecuchet and Marta Coll and Henning Reiss and Alexander J\"{u}terbock and Mark John Costello},
year = {2023},
date = {2023-01-01},
urldate = {2024-01-18},
journal = {PeerJ},
volume = {11},
pages = {e15801},
publisher = {PeerJ Inc.},
keywords = {},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
20.
Gordó-Vilaseca, Cesc; Stephenson, Fabrice; Coll, Marta; Lavin, Charles; Costello, Mark John
Three Decades of Increasing Fish Biodiversity across the Northeast Atlantic and the Arctic Ocean Journal Article
In: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, vol. 120, no. 4, pp. e2120869120, 2023, ISSN: 0027-8424, 1091-6490.
Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Tags:
@article{gordo-vilasecaThreeDecadesIncreasing2023,
title = {Three Decades of Increasing Fish Biodiversity across the Northeast Atlantic and the Arctic Ocean},
author = {Cesc Gord\'{o}-Vilaseca and Fabrice Stephenson and Marta Coll and Charles Lavin and Mark John Costello},
doi = {10.1073/pnas.2120869120},
issn = {0027-8424, 1091-6490},
year = {2023},
date = {2023-01-01},
urldate = {2024-01-18},
journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
volume = {120},
number = {4},
pages = {e2120869120},
abstract = {Observed range shifts of numerous species support predictions of climate change models that species will shift their distribution northward into the Arctic and sub-Arctic seas due to ocean warming. However, how this is affecting overall species richness is unclear. Here we analyze 20,670 scientific research trawls from the North Sea to the Arctic Ocean collected from 1994 to 2020, including 193 fish species. We found that demersal fish species richness at the local scale has doubled in some Arctic regions, including the Barents Sea, and increased at a lower rate at adjacent regions in the last three decades, followed by an increase in species richness and turnover at a regional scale. These changes in biodiversity correlated with an increase in sea bottom temperature. Within the study area, Arctic species' probability of occurrence generally declined over time. However, the increase in species from southern latitudes, together with an increase in some Arctic species, ultimately led to an enrichment of the Arctic and sub-Arctic marine fauna due to increasing water temperature consistent with climate change.},
keywords = {},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
Observed range shifts of numerous species support predictions of climate change models that species will shift their distribution northward into the Arctic and sub-Arctic seas due to ocean warming. However, how this is affecting overall species richness is unclear. Here we analyze 20,670 scientific research trawls from the North Sea to the Arctic Ocean collected from 1994 to 2020, including 193 fish species. We found that demersal fish species richness at the local scale has doubled in some Arctic regions, including the Barents Sea, and increased at a lower rate at adjacent regions in the last three decades, followed by an increase in species richness and turnover at a regional scale. These changes in biodiversity correlated with an increase in sea bottom temperature. Within the study area, Arctic species' probability of occurrence generally declined over time. However, the increase in species from southern latitudes, together with an increase in some Arctic species, ultimately led to an enrichment of the Arctic and sub-Arctic marine fauna due to increasing water temperature consistent with climate change.
21.
de Luzinais, Vianney Guibourd; Pontavice, Hubert Du; Reygondeau, Gabriel; Barrier, Nicolas; Blanchard, Julia L.; Bornarel, Virginie; Büchner, Matthias; Cheung, William WL; Eddy, Tyler D.; Everett, Jason D.
Trophic Amplification: A Model Intercomparison of Climate Driven Changes in Marine Food Webs Journal Article
In: PloS one, vol. 18, no. 8, pp. e0287570, 2023.
BibTeX | Tags: Biomass, Boats, Climate Change, Food, Food web structure, Marine Ecosystems, Oceans, Signal amplification
@article{guibourddeluzinaisTrophicAmplificationModel2023,
title = {Trophic Amplification: A Model Intercomparison of Climate Driven Changes in Marine Food Webs},
author = {Vianney Guibourd de Luzinais and Hubert Du Pontavice and Gabriel Reygondeau and Nicolas Barrier and Julia L. Blanchard and Virginie Bornarel and Matthias B\"{u}chner and William WL Cheung and Tyler D. Eddy and Jason D. Everett},
year = {2023},
date = {2023-01-01},
urldate = {2024-01-18},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {18},
number = {8},
pages = {e0287570},
publisher = {Public Library of Science San Francisco, CA USA},
keywords = {Biomass, Boats, Climate Change, Food, Food web structure, Marine Ecosystems, Oceans, Signal amplification},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
22.
Ofir, Eyal; Silver, Tal; Steenbeek, Jeroen G.; Shachar, Noam; Gal, Gideon
Applying the Safe Operating Space (SOS) Approach to Sustainable Commercial Fishing under Varying Lake Levels and Littoral Zone Conditions Journal Article
In: Fisheries, vol. 48, no. 3, pp. 107–120, 2023.
BibTeX | Tags:
@article{ofirApplyingSafeOperating2023,
title = {Applying the Safe Operating Space (SOS) Approach to Sustainable Commercial Fishing under Varying Lake Levels and Littoral Zone Conditions},
author = {Eyal Ofir and Tal Silver and Jeroen G. Steenbeek and Noam Shachar and Gideon Gal},
year = {2023},
date = {2023-01-01},
urldate = {2024-01-18},
journal = {Fisheries},
volume = {48},
number = {3},
pages = {107\textendash120},
publisher = {Wiley Online Library},
keywords = {},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
23.
Ofir, Eyal; Corrales, Xavier; Coll, Marta; Heymans, Johanna; Goren, Menachem; Steenbeek, Jeroen; Amitai, Yael; Shachar, Noam; Gal, Gideon
Evaluation of Fisheries Management Policies in the Alien Species-Rich Eastern Mediterranean under Climate Change Journal Article
In: Frontiers in Marine Science, vol. 10, pp. 1155480, 2023.
BibTeX | Tags:
@article{ofirEvaluationFisheriesManagement2023,
title = {Evaluation of Fisheries Management Policies in the Alien Species-Rich Eastern Mediterranean under Climate Change},
author = {Eyal Ofir and Xavier Corrales and Marta Coll and Johanna Heymans and Menachem Goren and Jeroen Steenbeek and Yael Amitai and Noam Shachar and Gideon Gal},
year = {2023},
date = {2023-01-01},
urldate = {2024-01-18},
journal = {Frontiers in Marine Science},
volume = {10},
pages = {1155480},
publisher = {Frontiers Media SA},
keywords = {},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
24.
Cerdà, Miquel Ortega; Cadenas, María Dolores Castro; Steenbeek, Jeroen; Coll, Marta
Identifying and Prioritizing Demersal Fisheries Restricted Areas Based on Combined Ecological and Fisheries Criteria: The Western Mediterranean Journal Article
In: 2023.
BibTeX | Tags:
@article{ortegacerdaIdentifyingPrioritizingDemersal2023,
title = {Identifying and Prioritizing Demersal Fisheries Restricted Areas Based on Combined Ecological and Fisheries Criteria: The Western Mediterranean},
author = {Miquel Ortega Cerd\`{a} and Mar\'{i}a Dolores Castro Cadenas and Jeroen Steenbeek and Marta Coll},
year = {2023},
date = {2023-01-01},
urldate = {2024-01-18},
publisher = {Elsevier},
keywords = {},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
25.
Pennino, Maria Grazia; Rehren, Jennifer; Tifoura, Amina; Lojo, Davinia; Coll, Marta
New Approaches to Old Problems: How to Introduce Ecosystem Information into Modern Fisheries Management Advice Journal Article
In: Hydrobiologia, vol. 850, no. 6, pp. 1251–1260, 2023.
BibTeX | Tags:
@article{penninoNewApproachesOld2023,
title = {New Approaches to Old Problems: How to Introduce Ecosystem Information into Modern Fisheries Management Advice},
author = {Maria Grazia Pennino and Jennifer Rehren and Amina Tifoura and Davinia Lojo and Marta Coll},
year = {2023},
date = {2023-01-01},
urldate = {2024-01-18},
journal = {Hydrobiologia},
volume = {850},
number = {6},
pages = {1251\textendash1260},
publisher = {Springer},
keywords = {},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
26.
Petza, Dimitra; Anastopoulos, Panagiotis; Kalogirou, Stefanos; Coll, Marta; Garcia, Serge; Kaiser, Michel; Koukourouvli, Nikoletta; Lourdi, Irene; Rice, Jake; Sciberras, Marija
Contribution of Area-Based Fisheries Management Measures to Fisheries Sustainability and Marine Conservation: A Global Scoping Review Journal Article
In: Reviews in Fish Biology and Fisheries, pp. 1–25, 2023.
BibTeX | Tags:
@article{petzaContributionAreabasedFisheries2023,
title = {Contribution of Area-Based Fisheries Management Measures to Fisheries Sustainability and Marine Conservation: A Global Scoping Review},
author = {Dimitra Petza and Panagiotis Anastopoulos and Stefanos Kalogirou and Marta Coll and Serge Garcia and Michel Kaiser and Nikoletta Koukourouvli and Irene Lourdi and Jake Rice and Marija Sciberras},
year = {2023},
date = {2023-01-01},
urldate = {2024-01-18},
journal = {Reviews in Fish Biology and Fisheries},
pages = {1\textendash25},
publisher = {Springer},
keywords = {},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
27.
Püts, Miriam; Kempf, Alexander; Möllmann, Christian; Taylor, Marc
Trade-Offs between Fisheries, Offshore Wind Farms and Marine Protected Areas in the Southern North Sea–Winners, Losers and Effective Spatial Management Journal Article
In: Marine Policy, vol. 152, pp. 105574, 2023.
BibTeX | Tags:
@article{putsTradeoffsFisheriesOffshore2023,
title = {Trade-Offs between Fisheries, Offshore Wind Farms and Marine Protected Areas in the Southern North Sea\textendashWinners, Losers and Effective Spatial Management},
author = {Miriam P\"{u}ts and Alexander Kempf and Christian M\"{o}llmann and Marc Taylor},
year = {2023},
date = {2023-01-01},
urldate = {2024-01-18},
journal = {Marine Policy},
volume = {152},
pages = {105574},
publisher = {Elsevier},
keywords = {},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
28.
Sánchez-Zulueta, Paula; Valls, María; Guijarro, Beatriz; Torres, María Ángeles; Zapata, María Ángeles; Coll, Marta; Corrales, Xavier; Andonegi, Eider; Díaz-Valdés, Marta; Massutí, Enric
Trophic Structure and Fishing Impacts on an Oligotrophic Ecosystem in the Western Mediterranean: The Balearic Islands Journal Article
In: Frontiers in Marine Science, 2023.
BibTeX | Tags:
@article{sanchez-zuluetaTrophicStructureFishing2023,
title = {Trophic Structure and Fishing Impacts on an Oligotrophic Ecosystem in the Western Mediterranean: The Balearic Islands},
author = {Paula S\'{a}nchez-Zulueta and Mar\'{i}a Valls and Beatriz Guijarro and Mar\'{i}a \'{A}ngeles Torres and Mar\'{i}a \'{A}ngeles Zapata and Marta Coll and Xavier Corrales and Eider Andonegi and Marta D\'{i}az-Vald\'{e}s and Enric Massut\'{i}},
year = {2023},
date = {2023-01-01},
urldate = {2024-01-18},
journal = {Frontiers in Marine Science},
publisher = {Frontiers Media},
keywords = {},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
29.
Shaffer, Michelle; Marriott, Sara; Lewis, Kristy A.; Buszowski, Joe; Mutsert, Kim
In: Marine and Coastal Fisheries, vol. 15, no. 6, pp. e10262, 2023, ISSN: 1942-5120.
Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Tags: action science, decision support tool, Ecosystem model, fisheries, hypoxia, management, nutrients, stakeholder survey instrument, water quality
@article{shafferActionSciencePractice2023,
title = {Action Science in Practice: Co-production of a Decision Support Tool Visualizing Effects of Nutrient and Hypoxia Reduction Goals on Fisheries Species},
author = {Michelle Shaffer and Sara Marriott and Kristy A. Lewis and Joe Buszowski and Kim Mutsert},
doi = {10.1002/mcf2.10262},
issn = {1942-5120},
year = {2023},
date = {2023-01-01},
urldate = {2024-01-18},
journal = {Marine and Coastal Fisheries},
volume = {15},
number = {6},
pages = {e10262},
abstract = {Objective The Gulf of Mexico hosts some of the most productive fisheries in the United States, whereas the same region is known to experience environmental stressors, such as summer hypoxia. Ecosystem models have been developed for the Gulf of Mexico to determine how hypoxia affects living marine resources, but these models and their output are not always easy to access or interpret by managers, thereby decreasing their implementation in a management setting. To help alleviate the gap between ecosystem model development and management utility, the current study focuses on co-produced, user-friendly tools that describe the effects of nutrient and hypoxia reductions on marine living resources. Methods Two decisions were made prior to the ecosystem model development to facilitate the transfer of model output: (1) to engage and consult fisheries and restoration managers throughout ecosystem model development to ensure that the output would provide relevant information; and (2) to provide an accessible visualization tool for making ecosystem model output readily available to support the needs of decision makers. Result Results from an advisory panel survey instrument and advisory panel meetings guided ecosystem model development and launched the development of a decision support tool. The iterative process of building a decision support tool incorporating feedback from survey instrument respondents resulted in an ESRI ArcGIS Dashboard that allows end-users to identify the effects of hypoxia and respondent-specified nutrient and hypoxia reduction goals on the biomass and distribution of fisheries species. Conclusion The intent is to aid managers who are actively working to address hypoxia in the Gulf of Mexico with easy-to-access information on the effects of planned actions and to encourage future modelers to apply action science principles to best address the needs of decision makers.},
keywords = {action science, decision support tool, Ecosystem model, fisheries, hypoxia, management, nutrients, stakeholder survey instrument, water quality},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
Objective The Gulf of Mexico hosts some of the most productive fisheries in the United States, whereas the same region is known to experience environmental stressors, such as summer hypoxia. Ecosystem models have been developed for the Gulf of Mexico to determine how hypoxia affects living marine resources, but these models and their output are not always easy to access or interpret by managers, thereby decreasing their implementation in a management setting. To help alleviate the gap between ecosystem model development and management utility, the current study focuses on co-produced, user-friendly tools that describe the effects of nutrient and hypoxia reductions on marine living resources. Methods Two decisions were made prior to the ecosystem model development to facilitate the transfer of model output: (1) to engage and consult fisheries and restoration managers throughout ecosystem model development to ensure that the output would provide relevant information; and (2) to provide an accessible visualization tool for making ecosystem model output readily available to support the needs of decision makers. Result Results from an advisory panel survey instrument and advisory panel meetings guided ecosystem model development and launched the development of a decision support tool. The iterative process of building a decision support tool incorporating feedback from survey instrument respondents resulted in an ESRI ArcGIS Dashboard that allows end-users to identify the effects of hypoxia and respondent-specified nutrient and hypoxia reduction goals on the biomass and distribution of fisheries species. Conclusion The intent is to aid managers who are actively working to address hypoxia in the Gulf of Mexico with easy-to-access information on the effects of planned actions and to encourage future modelers to apply action science principles to best address the needs of decision makers.
30.
Stock, Andy; Murray, Cathryn C.; Gregr, Edward J; Steenbeek, Jeroen; Woodburn, Emie; Micheli, Fiorenza; Christensen, Villy; Chan, Kai M. A.
Exploring Multiple Stressor Effects with Ecopath, Ecosim, and Ecospace: Research Designs, Modeling Techniques, and Future Directions Journal Article
In: 2023.
Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Tags:
@article{stockExploringMultipleStressor2023,
title = {Exploring Multiple Stressor Effects with Ecopath, Ecosim, and Ecospace: Research Designs, Modeling Techniques, and Future Directions},
author = {Andy Stock and Cathryn C. Murray and Edward J Gregr and Jeroen Steenbeek and Emie Woodburn and Fiorenza Micheli and Villy Christensen and Kai M. A. Chan},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.161719},
year = {2023},
date = {2023-01-01},
urldate = {2023-01-17},
abstract = {Understanding the cumulative effects of multiple stressors is a research priority in environmental science. Ecological models are a key component of tackling this challenge because they can simulate interactions between the components of an ecosystem. Here, we ask, how has the popular modeling platform Ecopath with Ecosim (EwE) been used to model human impacts related to climate change, land and sea use, pollution, and invasive species? We conducted a literature review encompassing 166 studies covering stressors other than fishing mostly in aquatic ecosystems. The most modeled stressors were physical climate change (60 studies), species introductions (22), habitat loss (21), and eutrophication (20), using a range of modeling techniques. Despite this comprehensive coverage, we identified four gaps that must be filled to harness the potential of EwE for studying multiple stressor effects. First, only 12% of studies investigated three or more stressors, with most studies focusing on single stressors. Furthermore, many studies modeled only one of many pathways through which each stressor is known to affect ecosystems. Second, various methods have been applied to define environmental response functions representing the effects of single stressors on species groups. These functions can have a large effect on the simulated ecological changes, but best practices for deriving them are yet to emerge. Third, human dimensions of environmental change \textendash except for fisheries \textendash were rarely considered. Fourth, only 3% of studies used statistical research designs that allow attribution of simulated ecosystem changes to stressors' direct effects and interactions, such as factorial (computational) experiments. None made full use of the statistical possibilities that arise when simulations can be repeated many times with controlled changes to the inputs. We argue that all four gaps are feasibly filled by integrating ecological modeling with advances in other subfields of environmental science and in computational statistics.},
keywords = {},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
Understanding the cumulative effects of multiple stressors is a research priority in environmental science. Ecological models are a key component of tackling this challenge because they can simulate interactions between the components of an ecosystem. Here, we ask, how has the popular modeling platform Ecopath with Ecosim (EwE) been used to model human impacts related to climate change, land and sea use, pollution, and invasive species? We conducted a literature review encompassing 166 studies covering stressors other than fishing mostly in aquatic ecosystems. The most modeled stressors were physical climate change (60 studies), species introductions (22), habitat loss (21), and eutrophication (20), using a range of modeling techniques. Despite this comprehensive coverage, we identified four gaps that must be filled to harness the potential of EwE for studying multiple stressor effects. First, only 12% of studies investigated three or more stressors, with most studies focusing on single stressors. Furthermore, many studies modeled only one of many pathways through which each stressor is known to affect ecosystems. Second, various methods have been applied to define environmental response functions representing the effects of single stressors on species groups. These functions can have a large effect on the simulated ecological changes, but best practices for deriving them are yet to emerge. Third, human dimensions of environmental change – except for fisheries – were rarely considered. Fourth, only 3% of studies used statistical research designs that allow attribution of simulated ecosystem changes to stressors' direct effects and interactions, such as factorial (computational) experiments. None made full use of the statistical possibilities that arise when simulations can be repeated many times with controlled changes to the inputs. We argue that all four gaps are feasibly filled by integrating ecological modeling with advances in other subfields of environmental science and in computational statistics.
31.
Vilas, Daniel; Buszowski, Joe; Sagarese, Skyler; Steenbeek, Jeroen; Siders, Zach; Chagaris, David
Evaluating Red Tide Effects on the West Florida Shelf Using a Spatiotemporal Ecosystem Modeling Framework Journal Article
In: Scientific Reports, vol. 13, no. 1, pp. 2541, 2023.
BibTeX | Tags: Community ecology, ecological modelling, Ecosystem ecology, ecosystem services, Environmental impact, Marine biology, Population dynamics
@article{vilasEvaluatingRedTide2023,
title = {Evaluating Red Tide Effects on the West Florida Shelf Using a Spatiotemporal Ecosystem Modeling Framework},
author = {Daniel Vilas and Joe Buszowski and Skyler Sagarese and Jeroen Steenbeek and Zach Siders and David Chagaris},
year = {2023},
date = {2023-01-01},
urldate = {2024-01-18},
journal = {Scientific Reports},
volume = {13},
number = {1},
pages = {2541},
publisher = {Nature Publishing Group UK London},
keywords = {Community ecology, ecological modelling, Ecosystem ecology, ecosystem services, Environmental impact, Marine biology, Population dynamics},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
32.
Stock, Andy; Murray, Cathryn C.; Gregr, Edward J; Steenbeek, Jeroen; Woodburn, Emie; Micheli, Fiorenza; Christensen, Villy; Chan, Kai M. A.
Exploring multiple stressor effects with Ecopath, Ecosim, and Ecospace: Research designs, modeling techniques, and future directions Journal Article
In: 2023.
Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Tags: Cumulative effects assessment, Cumulative impact assessment, Ecospace
@article{stock_exploring_2023,
title = {Exploring multiple stressor effects with Ecopath, Ecosim, and Ecospace: Research designs, modeling techniques, and future directions},
author = {Andy Stock and Cathryn C. Murray and Edward J Gregr and Jeroen Steenbeek and Emie Woodburn and Fiorenza Micheli and Villy Christensen and Kai M. A. Chan},
url = {https://osf.io/rfghy},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.161719},
year = {2023},
date = {2023-01-01},
urldate = {2023-01-17},
abstract = {Understanding the cumulative effects of multiple stressors is a research priority in environmental science. Ecological models are a key component of tackling this challenge because they can simulate interactions between the components of an ecosystem. Here, we ask, how has the popular modeling platform Ecopath with Ecosim (EwE) been used to model human impacts related to climate change, land and sea use, pollution, and invasive species? We conducted a literature review encompassing 166 studies covering stressors other than fishing mostly in aquatic ecosystems. The most modeled stressors were physical climate change (60 studies), species introductions (22), habitat loss (21), and eutrophication (20), using a range of modeling techniques. Despite this comprehensive coverage, we identified four gaps that must be filled to harness the potential of EwE for studying multiple stressor effects. First, only 12% of studies investigated three or more stressors, with most studies focusing on single stressors. Furthermore, many studies modeled only one of many pathways through which each stressor is known to affect ecosystems. Second, various methods have been applied to define environmental response functions representing the effects of single stressors on species groups. These functions can have a large effect on the simulated ecological changes, but best practices for deriving them are yet to emerge. Third, human dimensions of environmental change \textendash except for fisheries \textendash were rarely considered. Fourth, only 3% of studies used statistical research designs that allow attribution of simulated ecosystem changes to stressors’ direct effects and interactions, such as factorial (computational) experiments. None made full use of the statistical possibilities that arise when simulations can be repeated many times with controlled changes to the inputs. We argue that all four gaps are feasibly filled by integrating ecological modeling with advances in other subfields of environmental science and in computational statistics.},
keywords = {Cumulative effects assessment, Cumulative impact assessment, Ecospace},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
Understanding the cumulative effects of multiple stressors is a research priority in environmental science. Ecological models are a key component of tackling this challenge because they can simulate interactions between the components of an ecosystem. Here, we ask, how has the popular modeling platform Ecopath with Ecosim (EwE) been used to model human impacts related to climate change, land and sea use, pollution, and invasive species? We conducted a literature review encompassing 166 studies covering stressors other than fishing mostly in aquatic ecosystems. The most modeled stressors were physical climate change (60 studies), species introductions (22), habitat loss (21), and eutrophication (20), using a range of modeling techniques. Despite this comprehensive coverage, we identified four gaps that must be filled to harness the potential of EwE for studying multiple stressor effects. First, only 12% of studies investigated three or more stressors, with most studies focusing on single stressors. Furthermore, many studies modeled only one of many pathways through which each stressor is known to affect ecosystems. Second, various methods have been applied to define environmental response functions representing the effects of single stressors on species groups. These functions can have a large effect on the simulated ecological changes, but best practices for deriving them are yet to emerge. Third, human dimensions of environmental change – except for fisheries – were rarely considered. Fourth, only 3% of studies used statistical research designs that allow attribution of simulated ecosystem changes to stressors’ direct effects and interactions, such as factorial (computational) experiments. None made full use of the statistical possibilities that arise when simulations can be repeated many times with controlled changes to the inputs. We argue that all four gaps are feasibly filled by integrating ecological modeling with advances in other subfields of environmental science and in computational statistics.
33.
de Luzinais, Vianney Guibourd; Pontavice, Hubert Du; Reygondeau, Gabriel; Barrier, Nicolas; Blanchard, Julia L.; Bornarel, Virginie; Büchner, Matthias; Cheung, William WL; Eddy, Tyler D.; Everett, Jason D.
Trophic amplification: A model intercomparison of climate driven changes in marine food webs Journal Article
In: PloS one, vol. 18, no. 8, pp. e0287570, 2023, (Publisher: Public Library of Science San Francisco, CA USA).
Links | BibTeX | Tags: Biomass, Boats, Climate Change, Food, Food web structure, Marine Ecosystems, Oceans, Signal amplification
@article{guibourd_de_luzinais_trophic_2023,
title = {Trophic amplification: A model intercomparison of climate driven changes in marine food webs},
author = {Vianney Guibourd de Luzinais and Hubert Du Pontavice and Gabriel Reygondeau and Nicolas Barrier and Julia L. Blanchard and Virginie Bornarel and Matthias B\"{u}chner and William WL Cheung and Tyler D. Eddy and Jason D. Everett},
url = {https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0287570},
year = {2023},
date = {2023-01-01},
urldate = {2024-01-18},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {18},
number = {8},
pages = {e0287570},
note = {Publisher: Public Library of Science San Francisco, CA USA},
keywords = {Biomass, Boats, Climate Change, Food, Food web structure, Marine Ecosystems, Oceans, Signal amplification},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
34.
Bahurel, Pierre; Brönner, Ute; Buttigieg, Pier-Luigi; Chai, Fei; Chassignet, Eric; Devey, Colin; Fanjul, Enrique Alvarez; Hill, Katherine; Kim, Sung Yong; Kollert, Joana
DITTO Programme Whitepaper Journal Article
In: 2023.
BibTeX | Tags:
@article{bahurelDITTOProgrammeWhitepaper2023,
title = {DITTO Programme Whitepaper},
author = {Pierre Bahurel and Ute Br\"{o}nner and Pier-Luigi Buttigieg and Fei Chai and Eric Chassignet and Colin Devey and Enrique Alvarez Fanjul and Katherine Hill and Sung Yong Kim and Joana Kollert},
year = {2023},
date = {2023-01-01},
urldate = {2024-01-18},
publisher = {DITTO Programme of the UN Ocean Decade},
keywords = {},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
35.
Bryndum-Buchholz, Andrea; Blanchard, Julia L.; Coll, Marta; Pontavice, Hubert Du; Everett, Jason D.; Guiet, Jerome; Heneghan, Ryan F.; Maury, Olivier; Novaglio, Camilla; Palacios-Abrantes, Juliano; Petrik, Colleen M.; Tittensor, Derek P.; Lotze, Heike K.
Applying Ensemble Ecosystem Model Projections to Future-Proof Marine Conservation Planning in the Northwest Atlantic Ocean Journal Article
In: FACETS, vol. 8, pp. 1–16, 2023, ISSN: 2371-1671.
Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Tags:
@article{bryndum-buchholzApplyingEnsembleEcosystem2023,
title = {Applying Ensemble Ecosystem Model Projections to Future-Proof Marine Conservation Planning in the Northwest Atlantic Ocean},
author = {Andrea Bryndum-Buchholz and Julia L. Blanchard and Marta Coll and Hubert Du Pontavice and Jason D. Everett and Jerome Guiet and Ryan F. Heneghan and Olivier Maury and Camilla Novaglio and Juliano Palacios-Abrantes and Colleen M. Petrik and Derek P. Tittensor and Heike K. Lotze},
editor = {S. J. Cooke},
doi = {10.1139/facets-2023-0024},
issn = {2371-1671},
year = {2023},
date = {2023-01-01},
urldate = {2024-01-18},
journal = {FACETS},
volume = {8},
pages = {1\textendash16},
abstract = {Climate change is altering marine ecosystems across the globe and is projected to do so for centuries to come. Marine conservation agencies can use short- and long-term projections of species-specific or ecosystem-level climate responses to inform marine conservation planning. Yet, integration of climate change adaptation, mitigation, and resilience into marine conservation planning is limited. We analysed future trajectories of climate change impacts on total consumer biomass and six key physical and biogeochemical drivers across the Northwest Atlantic Ocean to evaluate the consequences for Marine Protected Areas (MPAs) and Other Effective area-based Conservation Measures (OECMs) in Atlantic Canada. We identified climate change hotspots and refugia, where the environmental drivers are projected to change most or remain close to their current state, respectively, by mid- and end-century. We used standardized outputs from the Fisheries and Marine Ecosystem Model Intercomparison Project and the 6th Coupled Model Intercomparison Project. Our analysis revealed that, currently, no existing marine conservation areas in Atlantic Canada overlap with identified climate refugia. Most (75%) established MPAs and more than one-third (39%) of the established OECMs lie within cumulative climate hotspots. Our results provide important long-term context for adaptation and future-proofing spatial marine conservation planning in Canada and the Northwest Atlantic region.},
keywords = {},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
Climate change is altering marine ecosystems across the globe and is projected to do so for centuries to come. Marine conservation agencies can use short- and long-term projections of species-specific or ecosystem-level climate responses to inform marine conservation planning. Yet, integration of climate change adaptation, mitigation, and resilience into marine conservation planning is limited. We analysed future trajectories of climate change impacts on total consumer biomass and six key physical and biogeochemical drivers across the Northwest Atlantic Ocean to evaluate the consequences for Marine Protected Areas (MPAs) and Other Effective area-based Conservation Measures (OECMs) in Atlantic Canada. We identified climate change hotspots and refugia, where the environmental drivers are projected to change most or remain close to their current state, respectively, by mid- and end-century. We used standardized outputs from the Fisheries and Marine Ecosystem Model Intercomparison Project and the 6th Coupled Model Intercomparison Project. Our analysis revealed that, currently, no existing marine conservation areas in Atlantic Canada overlap with identified climate refugia. Most (75%) established MPAs and more than one-third (39%) of the established OECMs lie within cumulative climate hotspots. Our results provide important long-term context for adaptation and future-proofing spatial marine conservation planning in Canada and the Northwest Atlantic region.
36.
Cousido, Marta; González-Carballo, Marta; Pennino, Maria Grazia; Coll, Marta; Báez, José Carlos
Differential Effect of Fisheries to the COVID-19 Pandemic in the Region of Andalusia (Spain) Journal Article
In: 2023.
BibTeX | Tags:
@article{cousidoDifferentialEffectFisheries2023,
title = {Differential Effect of Fisheries to the COVID-19 Pandemic in the Region of Andalusia (Spain)},
author = {Marta Cousido and Marta Gonz\'{a}lez-Carballo and Maria Grazia Pennino and Marta Coll and Jos\'{e} Carlos B\'{a}ez},
year = {2023},
date = {2023-01-01},
urldate = {2024-01-18},
publisher = {Elsevier},
keywords = {},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
Book Sections
37.
Mutsert, Kim; Coll, Marta; Steenbeek, Jeroen; Ainsworth, Cameron; Buszowski, Joe; Chagaris, David; Christensen, Villy; Heymans, Sheila J. J.; Lewis, Kristy A.; Libralato, Simone; Oldford, Greig; Piroddi, Chiara; Romagnoni, Giovanni; Serpetti, Natalia; Spence, Michael A.; Walters, Carl
Advances in Spatial-temporal Coastal and Marine Ecosystem Modeling Using Ecospace. Book Section
In: Reference Module in Earth Systems and Environmental Sciences, Elsevier, 2023, ISBN: 978-0-12-409548-9.
Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Tags: Aquatic, Coastal restoration, Ecological modeling, Ecopath with Ecosim, Ecospace, Ecosystem-based management, Ecosystems, Environmental impact, Fish ecology, fisheries, food webs, Marine, Policy, Spatial temporal modeling
@incollection{demutsertAdvancesSpatialTemporal2023,
title = {Advances in Spatial-temporal Coastal and Marine Ecosystem Modeling Using Ecospace.},
author = {Kim Mutsert and Marta Coll and Jeroen Steenbeek and Cameron Ainsworth and Joe Buszowski and David Chagaris and Villy Christensen and Sheila J. J. Heymans and Kristy A. Lewis and Simone Libralato and Greig Oldford and Chiara Piroddi and Giovanni Romagnoni and Natalia Serpetti and Michael A. Spence and Carl Walters},
doi = {10.1016/B978-0-323-90798-9.00035-4},
isbn = {978-0-12-409548-9},
year = {2023},
date = {2023-01-01},
urldate = {2023-06-20},
booktitle = {Reference Module in Earth Systems and Environmental Sciences},
publisher = {Elsevier},
abstract = {The advancement of ecosystem-based management of aquatic ecosystems should no longer be limited by a lack of tools. However, a lack of comprehensive understanding of the capabilities of existing tools can form a barrier for uptake. With this chapter, we strive to more fully describe one of these tools, the spatial-temporal ecosystem model Ecospace, which is part of the Ecopath with Ecosim (EwE) ecosystem modeling approach and software. Changes and developments in Ecospace have been faster than documented in recent years. Many features of Ecospace, including the most recent that have not been described before, are detailed in this chapter. The applications highlighted showcase the multitude of uses of the spatial application of EwE, which, especially due to expansion of the capabilities to incorporate the effects of environmental change, has facilitated its use outside of fisheries management to protection of biodiversity, ecosystem restoration and environmental impact assessment. New applications of Ecospace can truly contribute to advance modeling of cumulative impacts and management alternatives in marine ecosystems, and can be of interest to inform sectoral and intersectoral policy.},
keywords = {Aquatic, Coastal restoration, Ecological modeling, Ecopath with Ecosim, Ecospace, Ecosystem-based management, Ecosystems, Environmental impact, Fish ecology, fisheries, food webs, Marine, Policy, Spatial temporal modeling},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {incollection}
}
The advancement of ecosystem-based management of aquatic ecosystems should no longer be limited by a lack of tools. However, a lack of comprehensive understanding of the capabilities of existing tools can form a barrier for uptake. With this chapter, we strive to more fully describe one of these tools, the spatial-temporal ecosystem model Ecospace, which is part of the Ecopath with Ecosim (EwE) ecosystem modeling approach and software. Changes and developments in Ecospace have been faster than documented in recent years. Many features of Ecospace, including the most recent that have not been described before, are detailed in this chapter. The applications highlighted showcase the multitude of uses of the spatial application of EwE, which, especially due to expansion of the capabilities to incorporate the effects of environmental change, has facilitated its use outside of fisheries management to protection of biodiversity, ecosystem restoration and environmental impact assessment. New applications of Ecospace can truly contribute to advance modeling of cumulative impacts and management alternatives in marine ecosystems, and can be of interest to inform sectoral and intersectoral policy.
Miscellaneous
38.
Steenbeek, J.
Making Ecosystem Modelling Operational - Selected EcoOcean Output Miscellaneous
2023.
Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Tags:
@misc{steenbeekMakingEcosystemModelling2023b,
title = {Making Ecosystem Modelling Operational - Selected EcoOcean Output},
author = {J. Steenbeek},
doi = {10.6084/m9.figshare.24615096.v1},
year = {2023},
date = {2023-11-01},
urldate = {2024-01-24},
publisher = {figshare},
abstract = {Marine Ecosystem Models (MEMs) are increasingly driven with Earth System Models (ESMs) to better understand marine ecosystem dynamics, and to analyse the effects of alternative management efforts for marine ecosystems under potential scenarios of climate change. However, policy and commercial activities typically occur on seasonal-to-decadal time scales, a time span widely used in the global climate modelling community but where the skill level assessments of MEMs are in their infancy. This is mostly due to technical hurdles that prevent the global MEM community from performing large ensemble simulations with which to undergo systematic skill assessments. Here, we developed a novel distributed execution framework constructed of low-tech and freely available technologies to enable the systematic execution and analysis of linked ESM / MEM prediction ensembles. We apply this framework on the seasonal-to-decadal time scale, and assess how retrospective forecast uncertainty in an ensemble of initialised decadal Earth System Model predictions affects a mechanistic and spatiotemporal explicit global MEM. Our results indicate that ESM internal variability has a relatively low impact on the MEM variability in comparison to the broad assumptions related to reconstructed fisheries. We also observe that the results are also sensitive to the ESM specificities. Our case study warrants further systematic explorations to disentangle the impacts of climate change, fisheries scenarios, MEM internal ecological hypotheses, and ESM variability. Most importantly, our case study demonstrates that a simple and free distributed execution framework has the potential to empower any modelling group with the fundamental capabilities to operationalize marine ecosystem modelling.This data set constitutes the selected output for 385 EcoOcean executions, when driven by two ESMs, for fished and non-fished oceans, aggregated as ttime series across FAO sub-oceans and FAO statistical areas. Only focus data used in the manuscript - functional groups 1-6 (small, med and large pelagics, and small, med and large demersals) and the Atlantic zones - are included here},
keywords = {},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {misc}
}
Marine Ecosystem Models (MEMs) are increasingly driven with Earth System Models (ESMs) to better understand marine ecosystem dynamics, and to analyse the effects of alternative management efforts for marine ecosystems under potential scenarios of climate change. However, policy and commercial activities typically occur on seasonal-to-decadal time scales, a time span widely used in the global climate modelling community but where the skill level assessments of MEMs are in their infancy. This is mostly due to technical hurdles that prevent the global MEM community from performing large ensemble simulations with which to undergo systematic skill assessments. Here, we developed a novel distributed execution framework constructed of low-tech and freely available technologies to enable the systematic execution and analysis of linked ESM / MEM prediction ensembles. We apply this framework on the seasonal-to-decadal time scale, and assess how retrospective forecast uncertainty in an ensemble of initialised decadal Earth System Model predictions affects a mechanistic and spatiotemporal explicit global MEM. Our results indicate that ESM internal variability has a relatively low impact on the MEM variability in comparison to the broad assumptions related to reconstructed fisheries. We also observe that the results are also sensitive to the ESM specificities. Our case study warrants further systematic explorations to disentangle the impacts of climate change, fisheries scenarios, MEM internal ecological hypotheses, and ESM variability. Most importantly, our case study demonstrates that a simple and free distributed execution framework has the potential to empower any modelling group with the fundamental capabilities to operationalize marine ecosystem modelling.This data set constitutes the selected output for 385 EcoOcean executions, when driven by two ESMs, for fished and non-fished oceans, aggregated as ttime series across FAO sub-oceans and FAO statistical areas. Only focus data used in the manuscript - functional groups 1-6 (small, med and large pelagics, and small, med and large demersals) and the Atlantic zones - are included here
39.
Steenbeek, J.
MEM-Multi-Run-Framework Miscellaneous
Zenodo, 2023.
Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Tags:
@misc{steenbeekMEMMultiRunFramework2023,
title = {MEM-Multi-Run-Framework},
author = {J. Steenbeek},
doi = {10.5281/zenodo.10200704},
year = {2023},
date = {2023-11-01},
urldate = {2024-01-24},
abstract = {Rough first commit, no examples yet etc, but as used for the first MS under review},
howpublished = {Zenodo},
keywords = {},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {misc}
}
Rough first commit, no examples yet etc, but as used for the first MS under review
40.
Pennino, Maria Grazia; Coll, Marta; Cerviño, Santiago
The Challenges of Modelling and Assessing Fisheries Resources Miscellaneous
2023.
BibTeX | Tags:
@misc{penninoChallengesModellingAssessing2023,
title = {The Challenges of Modelling and Assessing Fisheries Resources},
author = {Maria Grazia Pennino and Marta Coll and Santiago Cervi\~{n}o},
year = {2023},
date = {2023-01-01},
urldate = {2024-01-18},
journal = {ICES Journal of Marine Science},
volume = {80},
number = {10},
pages = {2563\textendash2566},
publisher = {Oxford University Press},
keywords = {},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {misc}
}
2022
Journal Articles
41.
Piroddi, Chiara; Coll, Marta; Macias, Diego; Steenbeek, Jeroen; Garcia-Gorriz, Elisa; Mannini, Alessandro; Vilas, Daniel; Christensen, Villy
Modelling the Mediterranean Sea Ecosystem at High Spatial Resolution to Inform the Ecosystem-Based Management in the Region Journal Article
In: Scientific Reports, vol. 12, no. 1, pp. 19680, 2022, ISSN: 2045-2322.
Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Tags: Climate sciences, ecological modelling, Ecology, Environmental impact, Ocean sciences, Zoology
@article{piroddiModellingMediterraneanSea2022,
title = {Modelling the Mediterranean Sea Ecosystem at High Spatial Resolution to Inform the Ecosystem-Based Management in the Region},
author = {Chiara Piroddi and Marta Coll and Diego Macias and Jeroen Steenbeek and Elisa Garcia-Gorriz and Alessandro Mannini and Daniel Vilas and Villy Christensen},
doi = {10.1038/s41598-022-18017-x},
issn = {2045-2322},
year = {2022},
date = {2022-11-01},
urldate = {2024-01-18},
journal = {Scientific Reports},
volume = {12},
number = {1},
pages = {19680},
publisher = {Nature Publishing Group},
abstract = {Cumulative pressures are rapidly expanding in the Mediterranean Sea with consequences for marine biodiversity and marine resources, and the services they provide. Policy makers urge for a marine ecosystem assessment of the region in space and time. This study evaluates how the whole Mediterranean food web may have responded to historical changes in the climate, environment and fisheries, through the use of an ecosystem modelling over a long time span (decades) at high spatial resolution (8,×,8~km), to inform regional and sub-regional management. Results indicate coastal and shelf areas to be the sites with highest marine biodiversity and marine resources biomass, which decrease towards the south-eastern regions. High levels of total catches and discards are predicted to be concentrated in the Western sub-basin and the Adriatic Sea. Mean spatial\textendashtemporal changes of total and commercial biomass show increases in offshore waters of the region, while biodiversity indicators show marginal changes. Total catches and discards increase greatly in offshore waters of the Western and Eastern sub-basins. Spatial patterns and temporal mean changes of marine biodiversity, community biomasses and trophic indices, assessed in this study, aim at identifying areas and food web components that show signs of deterioration with the overall goal of assisting policy makers in designing and implementing spatial management actions for the region.},
keywords = {Climate sciences, ecological modelling, Ecology, Environmental impact, Ocean sciences, Zoology},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
Cumulative pressures are rapidly expanding in the Mediterranean Sea with consequences for marine biodiversity and marine resources, and the services they provide. Policy makers urge for a marine ecosystem assessment of the region in space and time. This study evaluates how the whole Mediterranean food web may have responded to historical changes in the climate, environment and fisheries, through the use of an ecosystem modelling over a long time span (decades) at high spatial resolution (8,×,8~km), to inform regional and sub-regional management. Results indicate coastal and shelf areas to be the sites with highest marine biodiversity and marine resources biomass, which decrease towards the south-eastern regions. High levels of total catches and discards are predicted to be concentrated in the Western sub-basin and the Adriatic Sea. Mean spatial–temporal changes of total and commercial biomass show increases in offshore waters of the region, while biodiversity indicators show marginal changes. Total catches and discards increase greatly in offshore waters of the Western and Eastern sub-basins. Spatial patterns and temporal mean changes of marine biodiversity, community biomasses and trophic indices, assessed in this study, aim at identifying areas and food web components that show signs of deterioration with the overall goal of assisting policy makers in designing and implementing spatial management actions for the region.
42.
Piroddi, Chiara; Coll, Marta; Macias, Diego; Steenbeek, Jeroen; Garcia-Gorriz, Elisa; Mannini, Alessandro; Vilas, Daniel; Christensen, Villy
Modelling the Mediterranean Sea ecosystem at high spatial resolution to inform the ecosystem-based management in the region Journal Article
In: Scientific Reports, vol. 12, no. 1, pp. 19680, 2022, ISSN: 2045-2322, (Number: 1 Publisher: Nature Publishing Group).
Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Tags: Climate sciences, ecological modelling, Ecology, Environmental impact, Ocean sciences, Zoology
@article{piroddi_modelling_2022,
title = {Modelling the Mediterranean Sea ecosystem at high spatial resolution to inform the ecosystem-based management in the region},
author = {Chiara Piroddi and Marta Coll and Diego Macias and Jeroen Steenbeek and Elisa Garcia-Gorriz and Alessandro Mannini and Daniel Vilas and Villy Christensen},
url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-022-18017-x},
doi = {10.1038/s41598-022-18017-x},
issn = {2045-2322},
year = {2022},
date = {2022-11-01},
urldate = {2022-11-19},
journal = {Scientific Reports},
volume = {12},
number = {1},
pages = {19680},
abstract = {Cumulative pressures are rapidly expanding in the Mediterranean Sea with consequences for marine biodiversity and marine resources, and the services they provide. Policy makers urge for a marine ecosystem assessment of the region in space and time. This study evaluates how the whole Mediterranean food web may have responded to historical changes in the climate, environment and fisheries, through the use of an ecosystem modelling over a long time span (decades) at high spatial resolution (8 × 8 km), to inform regional and sub-regional management. Results indicate coastal and shelf areas to be the sites with highest marine biodiversity and marine resources biomass, which decrease towards the south-eastern regions. High levels of total catches and discards are predicted to be concentrated in the Western sub-basin and the Adriatic Sea. Mean spatial\textendashtemporal changes of total and commercial biomass show increases in offshore waters of the region, while biodiversity indicators show marginal changes. Total catches and discards increase greatly in offshore waters of the Western and Eastern sub-basins. Spatial patterns and temporal mean changes of marine biodiversity, community biomasses and trophic indices, assessed in this study, aim at identifying areas and food web components that show signs of deterioration with the overall goal of assisting policy makers in designing and implementing spatial management actions for the region.},
note = {Number: 1
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group},
keywords = {Climate sciences, ecological modelling, Ecology, Environmental impact, Ocean sciences, Zoology},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
Cumulative pressures are rapidly expanding in the Mediterranean Sea with consequences for marine biodiversity and marine resources, and the services they provide. Policy makers urge for a marine ecosystem assessment of the region in space and time. This study evaluates how the whole Mediterranean food web may have responded to historical changes in the climate, environment and fisheries, through the use of an ecosystem modelling over a long time span (decades) at high spatial resolution (8 × 8 km), to inform regional and sub-regional management. Results indicate coastal and shelf areas to be the sites with highest marine biodiversity and marine resources biomass, which decrease towards the south-eastern regions. High levels of total catches and discards are predicted to be concentrated in the Western sub-basin and the Adriatic Sea. Mean spatial–temporal changes of total and commercial biomass show increases in offshore waters of the region, while biodiversity indicators show marginal changes. Total catches and discards increase greatly in offshore waters of the Western and Eastern sub-basins. Spatial patterns and temporal mean changes of marine biodiversity, community biomasses and trophic indices, assessed in this study, aim at identifying areas and food web components that show signs of deterioration with the overall goal of assisting policy makers in designing and implementing spatial management actions for the region.
43.
Ouled-Cheikh, Jazel; Coll, Marta; Cardona, Luis; Steenbeek, Jeroen; Ramírez, Francisco
Fisheries-Enhanced Pressure on Mediterranean Regions and Pelagic Species Already Impacted by Climate Change Journal Article
In: Elementa: Science of the Anthropocene, vol. 10, no. 1, pp. 00028, 2022, ISSN: 2325-1026.
Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Tags:
@article{ouled-cheikhFisheriesenhancedPressureMediterranean2022,
title = {Fisheries-Enhanced Pressure on Mediterranean Regions and Pelagic Species Already Impacted by Climate Change},
author = {Jazel Ouled-Cheikh and Marta Coll and Luis Cardona and Jeroen Steenbeek and Francisco Ram\'{i}rez},
doi = {10.1525/elementa.2022.00028},
issn = {2325-1026},
year = {2022},
date = {2022-10-01},
urldate = {2024-01-18},
journal = {Elementa: Science of the Anthropocene},
volume = {10},
number = {1},
pages = {00028},
abstract = {Marine species are widely threatened by anthropogenic activities, including fishing and human-induced climate change. However, geographically broad and spatially explicit assessments of the simultaneous impacts of these major threats at regional scales are mostly lacking due to the practical challenges of surveying vast geographical areas and obtaining adequately resolved data. Yet, these assessments are key for identifying highly and cumulatively impacted areas and species that should be prioritized for conservation through knowledge-based management strategies. Here, we analysed a 26-year (1993\textendash2018) time series of highly resolved remotely sensed environmental data to evaluate changes in optimal habitat availability (i.e., extent of marine areas encompassing optimal environmental conditions) for 15 species representative of small, medium and large pelagic fish inhabiting the Mediterranean Sea Large Marine Ecosystem. We then combined spatial and temporal data on fishing pressure and changes in optimal habitats to identify areas of high risk of cumulative impacts. Overall, results show how most of the studied Mediterranean pelagic species experienced a reduction in optimal habitat availability over the past decades. The few species that showed positive trends in optimal habitat availability expanded only to a small degree and hence were unlikely to compensate for the loss of key functional roles at the group level. Habitat loss concentrated in the western and central regions. Similarly, fishing pressure was found to be higher in these regions, thus overlapping with the areas experiencing a higher reduction of optimal habitat. Small and large pelagic fish were the most impacted groups, having a larger proportion of their distributions in highly, cumulative impacted areas. Redistributing fishing pressure and reducing it in highly impacted areas may alleviate the overall cumulative pressure on pelagic stocks, contributing to the necessary shift to sustainable and resilient fisheries that would ensure food security and a healthy ecosystem in this highly impacted basin.},
keywords = {},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
Marine species are widely threatened by anthropogenic activities, including fishing and human-induced climate change. However, geographically broad and spatially explicit assessments of the simultaneous impacts of these major threats at regional scales are mostly lacking due to the practical challenges of surveying vast geographical areas and obtaining adequately resolved data. Yet, these assessments are key for identifying highly and cumulatively impacted areas and species that should be prioritized for conservation through knowledge-based management strategies. Here, we analysed a 26-year (1993–2018) time series of highly resolved remotely sensed environmental data to evaluate changes in optimal habitat availability (i.e., extent of marine areas encompassing optimal environmental conditions) for 15 species representative of small, medium and large pelagic fish inhabiting the Mediterranean Sea Large Marine Ecosystem. We then combined spatial and temporal data on fishing pressure and changes in optimal habitats to identify areas of high risk of cumulative impacts. Overall, results show how most of the studied Mediterranean pelagic species experienced a reduction in optimal habitat availability over the past decades. The few species that showed positive trends in optimal habitat availability expanded only to a small degree and hence were unlikely to compensate for the loss of key functional roles at the group level. Habitat loss concentrated in the western and central regions. Similarly, fishing pressure was found to be higher in these regions, thus overlapping with the areas experiencing a higher reduction of optimal habitat. Small and large pelagic fish were the most impacted groups, having a larger proportion of their distributions in highly, cumulative impacted areas. Redistributing fishing pressure and reducing it in highly impacted areas may alleviate the overall cumulative pressure on pelagic stocks, contributing to the necessary shift to sustainable and resilient fisheries that would ensure food security and a healthy ecosystem in this highly impacted basin.
44.
Ouled-Cheikh, Jazel; Coll, Marta; Cardona, Luis; Steenbeek, Jeroen; Ramírez, Francisco
Fisheries-enhanced pressure on Mediterranean regions and pelagic species already impacted by climate change Journal Article
In: Elementa: Science of the Anthropocene, vol. 10, no. 1, pp. 00028, 2022, ISSN: 2325-1026.
Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Tags:
@article{ouled-cheikh_fisheries-enhanced_2022,
title = {Fisheries-enhanced pressure on Mediterranean regions and pelagic species already impacted by climate change},
author = {Jazel Ouled-Cheikh and Marta Coll and Luis Cardona and Jeroen Steenbeek and Francisco Ram\'{i}rez},
url = {https://doi.org/10.1525/elementa.2022.00028},
doi = {10.1525/elementa.2022.00028},
issn = {2325-1026},
year = {2022},
date = {2022-10-01},
urldate = {2022-11-19},
journal = {Elementa: Science of the Anthropocene},
volume = {10},
number = {1},
pages = {00028},
abstract = {Marine species are widely threatened by anthropogenic activities, including fishing and human-induced climate change. However, geographically broad and spatially explicit assessments of the simultaneous impacts of these major threats at regional scales are mostly lacking due to the practical challenges of surveying vast geographical areas and obtaining adequately resolved data. Yet, these assessments are key for identifying highly and cumulatively impacted areas and species that should be prioritized for conservation through knowledge-based management strategies. Here, we analysed a 26-year (1993\textendash2018) time series of highly resolved remotely sensed environmental data to evaluate changes in optimal habitat availability (i.e., extent of marine areas encompassing optimal environmental conditions) for 15 species representative of small, medium and large pelagic fish inhabiting the Mediterranean Sea Large Marine Ecosystem. We then combined spatial and temporal data on fishing pressure and changes in optimal habitats to identify areas of high risk of cumulative impacts. Overall, results show how most of the studied Mediterranean pelagic species experienced a reduction in optimal habitat availability over the past decades. The few species that showed positive trends in optimal habitat availability expanded only to a small degree and hence were unlikely to compensate for the loss of key functional roles at the group level. Habitat loss concentrated in the western and central regions. Similarly, fishing pressure was found to be higher in these regions, thus overlapping with the areas experiencing a higher reduction of optimal habitat. Small and large pelagic fish were the most impacted groups, having a larger proportion of their distributions in highly, cumulative impacted areas. Redistributing fishing pressure and reducing it in highly impacted areas may alleviate the overall cumulative pressure on pelagic stocks, contributing to the necessary shift to sustainable and resilient fisheries that would ensure food security and a healthy ecosystem in this highly impacted basin.},
keywords = {},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
Marine species are widely threatened by anthropogenic activities, including fishing and human-induced climate change. However, geographically broad and spatially explicit assessments of the simultaneous impacts of these major threats at regional scales are mostly lacking due to the practical challenges of surveying vast geographical areas and obtaining adequately resolved data. Yet, these assessments are key for identifying highly and cumulatively impacted areas and species that should be prioritized for conservation through knowledge-based management strategies. Here, we analysed a 26-year (1993–2018) time series of highly resolved remotely sensed environmental data to evaluate changes in optimal habitat availability (i.e., extent of marine areas encompassing optimal environmental conditions) for 15 species representative of small, medium and large pelagic fish inhabiting the Mediterranean Sea Large Marine Ecosystem. We then combined spatial and temporal data on fishing pressure and changes in optimal habitats to identify areas of high risk of cumulative impacts. Overall, results show how most of the studied Mediterranean pelagic species experienced a reduction in optimal habitat availability over the past decades. The few species that showed positive trends in optimal habitat availability expanded only to a small degree and hence were unlikely to compensate for the loss of key functional roles at the group level. Habitat loss concentrated in the western and central regions. Similarly, fishing pressure was found to be higher in these regions, thus overlapping with the areas experiencing a higher reduction of optimal habitat. Small and large pelagic fish were the most impacted groups, having a larger proportion of their distributions in highly, cumulative impacted areas. Redistributing fishing pressure and reducing it in highly impacted areas may alleviate the overall cumulative pressure on pelagic stocks, contributing to the necessary shift to sustainable and resilient fisheries that would ensure food security and a healthy ecosystem in this highly impacted basin.
45.
Ramírez, Francisco; Shannon, Lynne J.; Angelini, Ronaldo; Steenbeek, Jeroen; Coll, Marta
Overfishing Species on the Move May Burden Seafood Provision in the Low-Latitude Atlantic Ocean Journal Article
In: Science of The Total Environment, vol. 836, pp. 155480, 2022, ISSN: 0048-9697.
Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Tags: Climate Change, fisheries, Safe Operating Space, Seafood provisioning, Shifting distribution, Small and medium size pelagic fish
@article{ramirezOverfishingSpeciesMove2022,
title = {Overfishing Species on the Move May Burden Seafood Provision in the Low-Latitude Atlantic Ocean},
author = {Francisco Ram\'{i}rez and Lynne J. Shannon and Ronaldo Angelini and Jeroen Steenbeek and Marta Coll},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.155480},
issn = {0048-9697},
year = {2022},
date = {2022-08-01},
urldate = {2022-05-11},
journal = {Science of The Total Environment},
volume = {836},
pages = {155480},
abstract = {Climate and fisheries interact, often synergistically, and may challenge marine ecosystem functioning and management, along with seafood provision. Here, we spatially combine highly resolved assessments of climate-driven changes in optimal environmental conditions (i.e., optimal habitats) for the pelagic fish community with available industrial fishery data to identify highly impacted inshore areas in the Central and Southern Atlantic Ocean. Overall, optimal habitat availability remained stable or decreased over recent decades for most commercial, small and medium size pelagic species, particularly in low-latitude regions. We also find a worrying overlap of these areas with fishing hotspots. Nations near the Equator (particularly along the African coast) have been doubly impacted by climate and industrial fisheries, with ultimate consequences on fish stocks and ecosystems as a whole. Management and conservation actions are urgently required to prevent species depletions and ensure seafood provisioning in these highly impacted, and often socioeconomically constrained areas. These actions may include redistributing fishing pressure and reducing it in local areas where climate forcing is particularly high, balancing resource exploitation and the conservation of marine life-supporting services in the face of climate change.},
keywords = {Climate Change, fisheries, Safe Operating Space, Seafood provisioning, Shifting distribution, Small and medium size pelagic fish},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
Climate and fisheries interact, often synergistically, and may challenge marine ecosystem functioning and management, along with seafood provision. Here, we spatially combine highly resolved assessments of climate-driven changes in optimal environmental conditions (i.e., optimal habitats) for the pelagic fish community with available industrial fishery data to identify highly impacted inshore areas in the Central and Southern Atlantic Ocean. Overall, optimal habitat availability remained stable or decreased over recent decades for most commercial, small and medium size pelagic species, particularly in low-latitude regions. We also find a worrying overlap of these areas with fishing hotspots. Nations near the Equator (particularly along the African coast) have been doubly impacted by climate and industrial fisheries, with ultimate consequences on fish stocks and ecosystems as a whole. Management and conservation actions are urgently required to prevent species depletions and ensure seafood provisioning in these highly impacted, and often socioeconomically constrained areas. These actions may include redistributing fishing pressure and reducing it in local areas where climate forcing is particularly high, balancing resource exploitation and the conservation of marine life-supporting services in the face of climate change.
46.
Ramírez, Francisco; Shannon, Lynne J.; Angelini, Ronaldo; Steenbeek, Jeroen; Coll, Marta
Overfishing species on the move may burden seafood provision in the low-latitude Atlantic Ocean Journal Article
In: Science of The Total Environment, vol. 836, pp. 155480, 2022, ISSN: 0048-9697.
Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Tags: Climate Change, fisheries, Safe Operating Space, Seafood provisioning, Shifting distribution, Small and medium size pelagic fish
@article{ramirez_overfishing_2022,
title = {Overfishing species on the move may burden seafood provision in the low-latitude Atlantic Ocean},
author = {Francisco Ram\'{i}rez and Lynne J. Shannon and Ronaldo Angelini and Jeroen Steenbeek and Marta Coll},
url = {https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0048969722025761},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.155480},
issn = {0048-9697},
year = {2022},
date = {2022-08-01},
urldate = {2022-05-11},
journal = {Science of The Total Environment},
volume = {836},
pages = {155480},
abstract = {Climate and fisheries interact, often synergistically, and may challenge marine ecosystem functioning and management, along with seafood provision. Here, we spatially combine highly resolved assessments of climate-driven changes in optimal environmental conditions (i.e., optimal habitats) for the pelagic fish community with available industrial fishery data to identify highly impacted inshore areas in the Central and Southern Atlantic Ocean. Overall, optimal habitat availability remained stable or decreased over recent decades for most commercial, small and medium size pelagic species, particularly in low-latitude regions. We also find a worrying overlap of these areas with fishing hotspots. Nations near the Equator (particularly along the African coast) have been doubly impacted by climate and industrial fisheries, with ultimate consequences on fish stocks and ecosystems as a whole. Management and conservation actions are urgently required to prevent species depletions and ensure seafood provisioning in these highly impacted, and often socioeconomically constrained areas. These actions may include redistributing fishing pressure and reducing it in local areas where climate forcing is particularly high, balancing resource exploitation and the conservation of marine life-supporting services in the face of climate change.},
keywords = {Climate Change, fisheries, Safe Operating Space, Seafood provisioning, Shifting distribution, Small and medium size pelagic fish},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
Climate and fisheries interact, often synergistically, and may challenge marine ecosystem functioning and management, along with seafood provision. Here, we spatially combine highly resolved assessments of climate-driven changes in optimal environmental conditions (i.e., optimal habitats) for the pelagic fish community with available industrial fishery data to identify highly impacted inshore areas in the Central and Southern Atlantic Ocean. Overall, optimal habitat availability remained stable or decreased over recent decades for most commercial, small and medium size pelagic species, particularly in low-latitude regions. We also find a worrying overlap of these areas with fishing hotspots. Nations near the Equator (particularly along the African coast) have been doubly impacted by climate and industrial fisheries, with ultimate consequences on fish stocks and ecosystems as a whole. Management and conservation actions are urgently required to prevent species depletions and ensure seafood provisioning in these highly impacted, and often socioeconomically constrained areas. These actions may include redistributing fishing pressure and reducing it in local areas where climate forcing is particularly high, balancing resource exploitation and the conservation of marine life-supporting services in the face of climate change.
47.
Cinner, Joshua E.; Caldwell, Iain R.; Thiault, Lauric; Ben, John; Blanchard, Julia L.; Coll, Marta; Diedrich, Amy; Eddy, Tyler D.; Everett, Jason D.; Folberth, Christian; Gascuel, Didier; Guiet, Jerome; Gurney, Georgina G.; Heneghan, Ryan F.; Jägermeyr, Jonas; Jiddawi, Narriman; Lahari, Rachael; Kuange, John; Liu, Wenfeng; Maury, Olivier; Müller, Christoph; Novaglio, Camilla; Palacios-Abrantes, Juliano; Petrik, Colleen M.; Rabearisoa, Ando; Tittensor, Derek P.; Wamukota, Andrew; Pollnac, Richard
Potential Impacts of Climate Change on Agriculture and Fisheries Production in 72 Tropical Coastal Communities Journal Article
In: Nature Communications, vol. 13, no. 1, pp. 3530, 2022, ISSN: 2041-1723.
Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Tags: Climate Change, Climate-change ecology
@article{cinnerPotentialImpactsClimate2022,
title = {Potential Impacts of Climate Change on Agriculture and Fisheries Production in 72 Tropical Coastal Communities},
author = {Joshua E. Cinner and Iain R. Caldwell and Lauric Thiault and John Ben and Julia L. Blanchard and Marta Coll and Amy Diedrich and Tyler D. Eddy and Jason D. Everett and Christian Folberth and Didier Gascuel and Jerome Guiet and Georgina G. Gurney and Ryan F. Heneghan and Jonas J\"{a}germeyr and Narriman Jiddawi and Rachael Lahari and John Kuange and Wenfeng Liu and Olivier Maury and Christoph M\"{u}ller and Camilla Novaglio and Juliano Palacios-Abrantes and Colleen M. Petrik and Ando Rabearisoa and Derek P. Tittensor and Andrew Wamukota and Richard Pollnac},
doi = {10.1038/s41467-022-30991-4},
issn = {2041-1723},
year = {2022},
date = {2022-07-01},
urldate = {2024-01-18},
journal = {Nature Communications},
volume = {13},
number = {1},
pages = {3530},
publisher = {Nature Publishing Group},
abstract = {Climate change is expected to profoundly affect key food production sectors, including fisheries and agriculture. However, the potential impacts of climate change on these sectors are rarely considered jointly, especially below national scales, which can mask substantial variability in how communities will be affected. Here, we combine socioeconomic surveys of 3,008 households and intersectoral multi-model simulation outputs to conduct a sub-national analysis of the potential impacts of climate change on fisheries and agriculture in 72 coastal communities across five Indo-Pacific countries (Indonesia, Madagascar, Papua New Guinea, Philippines, and Tanzania). Our study reveals three key findings: First, overall potential losses to fisheries are higher than potential losses to agriculture. Second, while most locations ($\>$ 2/3) will experience potential losses to both fisheries and agriculture simultaneously, climate change mitigation could reduce the proportion of places facing that double burden. Third, potential impacts are more likely in communities with lower socioeconomic status.},
keywords = {Climate Change, Climate-change ecology},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
Climate change is expected to profoundly affect key food production sectors, including fisheries and agriculture. However, the potential impacts of climate change on these sectors are rarely considered jointly, especially below national scales, which can mask substantial variability in how communities will be affected. Here, we combine socioeconomic surveys of 3,008 households and intersectoral multi-model simulation outputs to conduct a sub-national analysis of the potential impacts of climate change on fisheries and agriculture in 72 coastal communities across five Indo-Pacific countries (Indonesia, Madagascar, Papua New Guinea, Philippines, and Tanzania). Our study reveals three key findings: First, overall potential losses to fisheries are higher than potential losses to agriculture. Second, while most locations ($>$ 2/3) will experience potential losses to both fisheries and agriculture simultaneously, climate change mitigation could reduce the proportion of places facing that double burden. Third, potential impacts are more likely in communities with lower socioeconomic status.
48.
Hidalgo, Manuel; Bartolino, Valerio; Coll, Marta; Hunsicker, Mary E; Travers-Trolet, Morgane; Browman, Howard I
`Adaptation Science' Is Needed to Inform the Sustainable Management of the World's Oceans in the Face of Climate Change Journal Article
In: ICES Journal of Marine Science, vol. 79, no. 2, pp. 457–462, 2022, ISSN: 1054-3139.
Abstract | Links | BibTeX | Tags:
@article{hidalgoAdaptationScienceNeeded2022,
title = {`Adaptation Science' Is Needed to Inform the Sustainable Management of the World's Oceans in the Face of Climate Change},
author = {Manuel Hidalgo and Valerio Bartolino and Marta Coll and Mary E Hunsicker and Morgane Travers-Trolet and Howard I Browman},
doi = {10.1093/icesjms/fsac014},
issn = {1054-3139},
year = {2022},
date = {2022-03-01},
urldate = {2024-01-18},
journal = {ICES Journal of Marine Science},
volume = {79},
number = {2},
pages = {457\textendash462},
abstract = {The global response to the challenge of increasingly rapid and severe climate change is shifting from a focus on mitigation and remediation of impacts to a pragmatic adaptation framework. Innovative adaptive solutions that transform the way in which we manage the world's oceans and, particularly, the harvesting of marine resources in a sustainable manner, are urgently needed. In that context, ICES Journal of Marine Science solicited contributions to the themed article set (TS), ``Exploring adaptation capacity of the world's oceans and marine resources to climate change''. We summarize the contributions included in this TS that provide examples of emerging climate change impacts, assess system risks at subnational and international scales, prove and evaluate different adaptation options and approaches, and explore societal and stakeholder perceptions. We also provide some ``food for thought" on possible future developments in a transdisciplinary ``adaptation science'' working at the interface between ecology, socio-economics, and policy-governance, and that will have to provide concrete solutions to the challenges represented by climate-change and anthropogenic activity. Success will depend on the extent to which new knowledge and approaches can be integrated into the decision-making process to support evidence-based climate policy and ecosystem-based management. This includes testing their effectiveness in real systems, but also consider how social acceptance of adaptive measures will/will not support their full implementation.},
keywords = {},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
The global response to the challenge of increasingly rapid and severe climate change is shifting from a focus on mitigation and remediation of impacts to a pragmatic adaptation framework. Innovative adaptive solutions that transform the way in which we manage the world's oceans and, particularly, the harvesting of marine resources in a sustainable manner, are urgently needed. In that context, ICES Journal of Marine Science solicited contributions to the themed article set (TS), ``Exploring adaptation capacity of the world's oceans and marine resources to climate change''. We summarize the contributions included in this TS that provide examples of emerging climate change impacts, assess system risks at subnational and international scales, prove and evaluate different adaptation options and approaches, and explore societal and stakeholder perceptions. We also provide some ``food for thought" on possible future developments in a transdisciplinary ``adaptation science'' working at the interface between ecology, socio-economics, and policy-governance, and that will have to provide concrete solutions to the challenges represented by climate-change and anthropogenic activity. Success will depend on the extent to which new knowledge and approaches can be integrated into the decision-making process to support evidence-based climate policy and ecosystem-based management. This includes testing their effectiveness in real systems, but also consider how social acceptance of adaptive measures will/will not support their full implementation.
49.
Ramírez, Francisco; Sbragaglia, Valerio; Soacha, Karen; Coll, Marta; Piera, Jaume
Challenges for Marine Ecological Assessments: Completeness of Findable, Accessible, Interoperable, and Reusable Biodiversity Data in European Seas Journal Article
In: Frontiers in Marine Science, vol. 8, 2022, ISSN: 2296-7745.
@article{ramirezChallengesMarineEcological2022,
title = {Challenges for Marine Ecological Assessments: Completeness of Findable, Accessible, Interoperable, and Reusable Biodiversity Data in European Seas},
author = {Francisco Ram\'{i}rez and Valerio Sbragaglia and Karen Soacha and Marta Coll and Jaume Piera},
issn = {2296-7745},
year = {2022},
date = {2022-01-01},
urldate = {2024-01-18},
journal = {Frontiers in Marine Science},
volume = {8},
abstract = {The ongoing contemporary biodiversity crisis may result in much of ocean's biodiversity to be lost or deeply modified without even being known. As the climate and anthropogenic-related impacts on marine systems accelerate, biodiversity knowledge integration is urgently required to evaluate and monitor marine ecosystems and to support suitable responses to underpin a sustainable future. The Census of Marine Life (CoML, 2000\textendash2010) was the largest global research program on marine biodiversity. A decade after, and coinciding with the steep increase of digitalization of our society, we review existing findability, accessibility, interoperability, and reusability (FAIR) biodiversity data coming from one of the most reliable online information systems: the Global Biodiversity Information Facility (GBIF). We evaluate the completeness of available datasets with respect to the CoML benchmark, along with progresses in understanding spatial\textendashtemporal patterns of marine biodiversity in the European Seas in the last decades. Overall, we observe severe biases in available biodiversity data toward the north-western marine regions (particularly around the United Kingdom and the North Sea), the most recent years (with a peak in the number of reported occurrences in the 2010s) and the most conspicuous, abundant, and likely ``appealing'' taxa (e.g., crustaceans, echinoderms or fish). These biases may hamper research applications, but also global-scale data needs and integrative assessments required to support cost-effective progresses toward global biodiversity conservation. National to international joint efforts aimed at enhancing data acquisition and mobilization from poorly known regions, periods, and taxa are desirable if we aim to address these potential biases for the effective monitoring of marine ecosystems and the evaluation of ongoing impacts on biogeographic patterns and ecosystem functioning and services.},
keywords = {},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
The ongoing contemporary biodiversity crisis may result in much of ocean's biodiversity to be lost or deeply modified without even being known. As the climate and anthropogenic-related impacts on marine systems accelerate, biodiversity knowledge integration is urgently required to evaluate and monitor marine ecosystems and to support suitable responses to underpin a sustainable future. The Census of Marine Life (CoML, 2000–2010) was the largest global research program on marine biodiversity. A decade after, and coinciding with the steep increase of digitalization of our society, we review existing findability, accessibility, interoperability, and reusability (FAIR) biodiversity data coming from one of the most reliable online information systems: the Global Biodiversity Information Facility (GBIF). We evaluate the completeness of available datasets with respect to the CoML benchmark, along with progresses in understanding spatial–temporal patterns of marine biodiversity in the European Seas in the last decades. Overall, we observe severe biases in available biodiversity data toward the north-western marine regions (particularly around the United Kingdom and the North Sea), the most recent years (with a peak in the number of reported occurrences in the 2010s) and the most conspicuous, abundant, and likely ``appealing'' taxa (e.g., crustaceans, echinoderms or fish). These biases may hamper research applications, but also global-scale data needs and integrative assessments required to support cost-effective progresses toward global biodiversity conservation. National to international joint efforts aimed at enhancing data acquisition and mobilization from poorly known regions, periods, and taxa are desirable if we aim to address these potential biases for the effective monitoring of marine ecosystems and the evaluation of ongoing impacts on biogeographic patterns and ecosystem functioning and services.
50.
Ramírez, Francisco; Shannon, Lynne J.; Lingen, Carl D.; Julià, Laura; Steenbeek, Jeroen; Coll, Marta
Climate and Fishing Simultaneously Impact Small Pelagic Fish in the Oceans around the Southernmost Tip of Africa Journal Article
In: Frontiers in Marine Science, vol. 9, pp. 1031784, 2022.
BibTeX | Tags:
@article{ramirezClimateFishingSimultaneously2022,
title = {Climate and Fishing Simultaneously Impact Small Pelagic Fish in the Oceans around the Southernmost Tip of Africa},
author = {Francisco Ram\'{i}rez and Lynne J. Shannon and Carl D. Lingen and Laura Juli\`{a} and Jeroen Steenbeek and Marta Coll},
year = {2022},
date = {2022-01-01},
urldate = {2024-01-18},
journal = {Frontiers in Marine Science},
volume = {9},
pages = {1031784},
publisher = {Frontiers},
keywords = {},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
Contact
Ecopath International Initiative
Barcelona, Spain
PIC 958090341
info@ecopathinternational.org
Ecopath International Initiative is a not-for-profit research organization
Photo credits
© Marta Coll
© Jeroen Steenbeek
© Jeroen Steenbeek